Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 9% | −2 pts | +2 pts | 6¢ · 12¢ (6¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52d | nope3050 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo92¢ → 91¢ | $1,477 | −$14 −0.9% | 20 |
| 115d | Playful-Collateral | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | −$47 −2.4% | — |
| 131d | LulaVaiPerder | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$152 −12% | — |
| 135d |  MrNoItAll2 fills | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,006 | +$551 +11% | 20 |
| 135d | SuperavitFiscal | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | −$74 −6.4% | — |
| 137d | LJa7io23MCv954j | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,956 | +$176 +9.0% | 20 |
| 167d | M2sx92kljs42 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,848 | +$352 +19% | 20 |
| 169d | Renan2030 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$280 +22% | 20 |
| 169d | Michael5289 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,089 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 171d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | +$29 +2.0% | 20 |
| 173d | SuperavitFiscal | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$146 +7.3% | 20 |
| 177d | mifeprex | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | +$287 +18% | 20 |
| 183d | Renan2030 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | −$39 −2.6% | — |
| 190d |  TylerTurden | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$238 +21% | 20 |
| 190d | Passionate-Left | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$380 +23% | 20 |
| 191d |  Hakei. | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,119 | −$1,119 −100% | 20 |
| 191d |  AlfredTheShiller | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,183 | −$1,183 −100% | 20 |
| 191d |  Dr.mett | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,584 | −$1,584 −100% | 20 |
| 191d |  Robbb | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | −$1,069 −100% | 20 |
| 191d |  mombil | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | −$1,032 −100% | 20 |
| 191d | Thanks4TheMoney | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,513 | −$2,513 −100% | 20 |
| 191d |  XueqinJiang | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,996 | −$1,996 −100% | 21 |
| 192d | readinghospital | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$134 +12% | 20 |
| 194d | cashy | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | +$705 +43% | 20 |
| 194d | M2sx92kljs42 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$270 +23% | 20 |
| 198d | Trustinghorse | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,185 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 203d |  FTX2.0 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,584 | −$416 −16% | — |
| 211d | Better-Dead | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$311 +31% | 20 |
| 219d | lilei11 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $23,321 | +$23,321 +100% | — |
| 220d | huashengsu | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $16,778 | +$5,895 +35% | 20 |
| 220d | lucy1 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $17,141 | +$6,022 +35% | 20 |
| 220d | chouchou1 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $15,388 | +$5,406 +35% | 20 |
| 225d | BulkeyBull | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$865 +86% | 20 |
| 226d | YOYOAVIV | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 20 |
| 227d | 0x2a6c…07bc | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 228d | Dafiiii-1772416838078 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $4,553 | +$4,553 +100% | — |
| 229d | Dafiiii-1772416838078 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $7,371 | −$7,371 −100% | 20 |
| 289d | denizz2 fills | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,251 | +$50 +1.2% | 20 |
| 310d |  MajidJavadi | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$51 +4.0% | 20 |
Mikelious436 shares
Avitz33390 shares
ChainReaction-392219 shares
Vengance142 shares
LornaPredicts58 shares
ofcourseistillloveyou2019100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 9%.