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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 91 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $8 | −$2 −15% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 58 | 31¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$13 −71% |
| Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 52 | 19¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$7 −68% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 83 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$7 −69% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | No | 104 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$3 −54% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 4h | No | 77 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −65% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −65% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.