Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| January 31 | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| March 31 | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| June 30 | 100% | −4 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217d |  DaOnepiece | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,957 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  duderr5 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $100,575 | −$101 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  MEPP2 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $24,955 | −$45 −0.2% | — |
| 217d |  Burnmoneyuser3 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $18,438 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | PainStealer | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,580 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | piblott | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Known-Stock | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,429 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  GroyperFinancialServices | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,500 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | GroyperFinancialServices2 fills | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $95,044 | −$95 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | perroperro | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | 0xzipper | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  ChoosePoverty | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,114 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  4threich | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,107 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  IlliterateTrader | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,763 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Anonretard | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,710 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  Valen94 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $24,857 | −$50 −0.2% | — |
| 217d | pollly777 | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | 4bet | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,648 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | thiswhyilosemoney | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,187 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | JoeBlack01 | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,906 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Informal-Archives | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,911 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | kkdsj2 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  Infringe3 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,894 | −$24 −0.2% | — |
| 218d | Wet-Appetizer | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,336 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  degensruletheworld | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $27,905 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  cambridgeisaac3 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,597 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 218d | secondpoorest | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,649 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  elon2000 | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,646 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  Rommel💀 | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,813 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | nonkenny90 | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,202 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  Alphax3 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $27,939 | −$61 −0.2% | — |
| 218d | Eatpraylove2 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,988 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  TealV | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,493 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  pepess | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,068 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | Quarterly-Bond | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,541 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | QMG-CORE3 fills | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,043 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  adonpoli5 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $36,591 | −$63 −0.2% | — |
| 218d |  tetrase13 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $469,395 | −$605 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | Nutty-Shopping | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | garkein2 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,477 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | 4bet3 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $42,459 | −$43 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  bamesjond2 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $19,599 | −$35 −0.2% | — |
| 218d | QMG-CORE | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,487 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  Ahpo2 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,718 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  ProfessionalPunter | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $34,965 | −$35 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | ProfessionalPunter | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,905 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | ProfessionalPunter | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | wowdontrug | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,624 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  0xRacist | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,613 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | stealer | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,778 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | kohooo | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,760 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | eeeww | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,286 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 218d | cuuc | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,373 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b044 fills | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $41,958 | −$42 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  Totenkopf | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,274 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  JoachimPeiper | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,859 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  arabsearch | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,992 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  SnitchingRat | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,571 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  swimmingtoriches | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,488 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  OptimusBot | March 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,460 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
jinchenwoaini10 sharesIf Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.