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Polymarket wallet 0x4da76bbf120899fc10fa6e0aad4bffdd19a7355e · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026 · also shown as Late-Birch
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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 9,673 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $8,174 | +$1,012 +14% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,134 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6,886 −100% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,448 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,043 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,732 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$733 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.