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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 98% | — | −1 pts | 97¢ · >99¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| Tyler Shough | 35% | −14 pts | +6 pts | 22¢ · 48¢ (26¢) | — | in 102d |
| Joe Flacco | 3% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 102d |
| Kirk Cousins | 91% | +36 pts | +70 pts | 88¢ · 93¢ (5¢) | — | in 102d |
| Nick Mullens | 4% | −1 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 102d |
| Sam Howell | 3% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 102d |
| Bryce Young | 36% | 0 pts | +12 pts | <1¢ · 72¢ (72¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jake Browning | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 102d |
| Ty Simpson | 24% | −1 pts | +14 pts | 1¢ · 47¢ (47¢) | — | in 102d |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 102d |
| Carson Beck | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 102d |
| Shedeur Sanders | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 102d |
| Dak Prescott | 66% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 45¢ · 86¢ (41¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jayden Daniels | 10% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 18¢ (17¢) | — | in 102d |
| Justin Fields | 3% | −1 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 102d |
| Tommy DeVito | 13% | +8 pts | +8 pts | 2¢ · 24¢ (22¢) | — | in 102d |
| Tyson Bagent | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 102d |
| Anthony Richardson Sr. | 4% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| Mac Jones | 5% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 102d |
| Fernando Mendoza | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 8¢ (8¢) | — | in 102d |
| Patrick Mahomes | 51% | +1 pts | −31 pts | 4¢ · 98¢ (94¢) | — | in 102d |
| Lamar Jackson | 51% | −3 pts | −27 pts | 2¢ · 99¢ (97¢) | — | in 102d |
| Marcus Mariota | 13% | +5 pts | +5 pts | 1¢ · 25¢ (24¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jarrett Stidham | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| J.J. McCarthy | 8% | +6 pts | +2 pts | 5¢ · 12¢ (7¢) | — | in 102d |
| Brock Purdy | 87% | +1 pts | +5 pts | 75¢ · 99¢ (24¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jaxson Dart | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| C.J. Stroud | 16% | +3 pts | −4 pts | 12¢ · 20¢ (8¢) | — | in 102d |
| Cam Ward | 4% | −1 pts | −6 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jared Goff | 50% | +5 pts | +4 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 102d |
| Aaron Rodgers | 26% | +12 pts | +12 pts | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 102d |
| Drake Maye | 60% | −30 pts | +42 pts | 20¢ · >99¢ (80¢) | $60 | in 102d |
| Bo Nix | 51% | −3 pts | +20 pts | 3¢ · 99¢ (96¢) | — | in 102d |
| Justin Herbert | 50% | −2 pts | +22 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 102d |
| Caleb Williams | 50% | +2 pts | +23 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 102d |
| Daniel Jones | 19% | +14 pts | +9 pts | 1¢ · 37¢ (36¢) | — | in 102d |
| Joe Burrow | 75% | −12 pts | +24 pts | 50¢ · 99¢ (49¢) | — | in 102d |
| Baker Mayfield | 6% | −4 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 11¢ (10¢) | $20 | in 102d |
| Jameis Winston | 14% | −1 pts | +7 pts | 2¢ · 25¢ (23¢) | — | in 102d |
| Trevor Lawrence | 69% | −11 pts | +22 pts | 51¢ · 86¢ (35¢) | $9 | in 102d |
| Jalen Hurts | 50% | −2 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 96¢ (92¢) | — | in 102d |
| Matthew Stafford | 45% | −3 pts | −6 pts | 4¢ · 85¢ (81¢) | — | in 102d |
| Kyler Murray | 48% | +8 pts | +26 pts | 1¢ · 94¢ (93¢) | — | in 102d |
| Malik Willis | 49% | +6 pts | +34 pts | 1¢ · 96¢ (95¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jordan Love | 49% | +3 pts | +26 pts | 1¢ · 96¢ (95¢) | — | in 102d |
| Sam Darnold | 19% | −31 pts | +6 pts | 1¢ · 37¢ (36¢) | — | in 102d |
| Geno Smith | 50% | — | +40 pts | 1¢ · 98¢ (97¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jacoby Brissett | 26% | +11 pts | +12 pts | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 102d |
| Deshaun Watson | 13% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 25¢ (24¢) | — | in 102d |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 13% | −38 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 25¢ (24¢) | — | in 102d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No". Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 12 would qualify for the top 12, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 12 quarterbacks are classified as top 12. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 98¢ for Josh Allen means the market gives it about 98%.