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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 4% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | simpleman | December 31 | SellNo96¢ | $1,543 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 52d | simpleman | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,530 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 |
| 70d | Elias.Thornwell | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,056 | +$11 +1.1% | 20 |
| 95d | Kevindoto | December 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,134 | +$24 +2.1% | 20 |
| 98d | QMG-CORE | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $2,790 | +$90 +3.2% | 20 |
| 98d | 0x8931…a90c | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $4,650 | +$150 +3.2% | 20 |
| 99d |  elmcap2 | December 31 | SellNo93¢ → 96¢ | $3,296 | −$106 −3.2% | — |
| 106d |  DEGENKHAN3 fills | December 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 96¢ | $8,795 | +$350 +4.0% | 20 |
| 107d | Another-Allowance | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $2,046 | +$66 +3.2% | 20 |
| 108d | selador | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $1,860 | +$60 +3.2% | 20 |
| 111d | selador2 fills | JD Vance out as VP by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,973 | −$27 −0.4% | — |
| 115d |  CAR-GangVersion | JD Vance out as VP by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,009 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 116d | elmcap2 | December 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 96¢ | $22,015 | +$957 +4.3% | 20 |
| 123d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | JD Vance out as VP by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,328 | +$16 +0.5% | 20 |
| 136d |  siick | December 31 | SellNo90¢ → 96¢ | $2,250 | −$150 −6.7% | — |
| 138d | selador2 fills | JD Vance out as VP by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,181 | +$56 +1.3% | 20 |
| 138d |  DFK2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $5,460 | +$300 +5.5% | 20 |
| 139d |  BigRabbit | December 31 | BuyYes9¢ → 4¢ | $1,350 | −$750 −56% | 22 |
| 140d | CAR-GangVersion | JD Vance out as VP by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,634 | +$52 +1.4% | 20 |
| 142d | siick | December 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $4,550 | +$250 +5.5% | 20 |
| 142d | AiBird | December 31 | BuyYes9¢ → 4¢ | $1,126 | −$626 −56% | 21 |
| 142d | 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk | December 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $2,845 | +$156 +5.5% | 20 |
| 142d | selador | JD Vance out as VP by June 15? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 20 |
BigRabbit17,962 shares
Anjun5,064 sharesDEGENKHAN3,546 sharessiick2,500 shares
NotMasterFan1,543 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 4%.