| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 114 | 17¢ → 89¢ | $101 | +$82 +421% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,830 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $81 | +$33 +67% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,149 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $76 | +$45 +151% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 155 | 8¢ → 46¢ | $72 | +$60 +481% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,640 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $62 | +$34 +121% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 162 | 20¢ → 29¢ | $46 | +$14 +42% |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 467 | 4¢ → 10¢ | $46 | +$27 +146% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 64 | 28¢ → 63¢ | $40 | +$22 +123% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 186 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $38 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,888 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $37 | −$3 −8.1% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 926 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $34 | +$18 +105% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,081 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $34 | −$3 −7.4% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 293 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $34 | +$10 +45% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,511 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $31 | −$16 −34% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 59 | 39¢ → 54¢ | $31 | +$9 +38% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,210 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $30 | −$2 −6.1% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,940 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $30 | −$9 −22% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 261 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $30 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 48 | 44¢ → 63¢ | $30 | +$9 +42% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 52 | 37¢ → 57¢ | $30 | +$10 +54% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 62 | 41¢ → 47¢ | $30 | +$4 +15% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 49 | 40¢ → 57¢ | $28 | +$8 +42% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,367 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $27 | +$5 +24% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,546 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $27 | −$3 −12% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 112 | 17¢ → 23¢ | $25 | +$6 +32% |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 713 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $25 | −$1 −4.7% |
| Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Ends in 75d | Yes | 122 | 8¢ → 20¢ | $24 | +$14 +137% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 26 | 51¢ → 94¢ | $24 | +$11 +85% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 800 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $24 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 175 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $23 | −$7 −25% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 840 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $22 | +$5 +27% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 145 | 21¢ → 15¢ | $22 | −$8 −27% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,349 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $22 | −$19 −47% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,089 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $21 | +$7 +49% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 782 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $21 | −$13 −38% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 145 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $21 | −$4 −16% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 355 | 16¢ → 6¢ | $21 | −$36 −63% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 140 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $20 | +$6 +43% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 357 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $20 | −$17 −46% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,555 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $19 | −$9 −31% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,133 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $19 | −$6 −23% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 616 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 358 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $18 | −$13 −42% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 199 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $18 | +$4 +32% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 49 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $18 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 506 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $18 | −$29 −61% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 71 | 13¢ → 25¢ | $17 | +$8 +88% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 252 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $16 | −$4 −19% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 398 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.7% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,013 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $16 | −$15 −49% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 98 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $16 | −$13 −45% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,415 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $15 | −$34 −69% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 63 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $15 | −$4 −22% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 372 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $15 | −$15 −51% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 213 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $15 | +$2 +15% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 84 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $15 | −$4 −19% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 826 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $14 | +$2 +16% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 361 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $14 | −$17 −54% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 393 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $14 | +$8 +131% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,595 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $14 | −$17 −55% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 121 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $14 | −$5 −27% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 942 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $14 | −$2 −14% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 534 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $14 | −$2 −10% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 3,006 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$14 −51% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 360 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 341 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $13 | −$16 −55% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,400 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $13 | −$6 −31% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 331 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $13 | −$17 −56% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 24 | 39¢ → 54¢ | $13 | +$4 +38% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 261 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $13 | −$11 −46% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 16 | 43¢ → 77¢ | $12 | +$5 +78% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 75 | 11¢ → 17¢ | $12 | +$4 +50% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 1,904 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $12 | −$8 −39% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 218 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $12 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,510 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $12 | −$27 −68% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 576 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$20 −63% |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 383 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $12 | −$2 −15% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,067 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$12 −51% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 205 | 19¢ → 6¢ | $11 | −$28 −72% |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 1,071 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 107 | 17¢ → 11¢ | $11 | −$7 −38% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 160 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $11 | −$6 −36% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 297 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $11 | −$3 −19% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 154 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $11 | +$7 +151% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,688 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$22 −67% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 546 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.9% |
| Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 4,221 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$25 −71% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 139 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $10 | −$12 −52% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 77 | 5¢ → 13¢ | $10 | +$6 +167% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 564 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $10 | −$17 −64% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,098 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$21 −69% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,086 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $9 | −$8 −46% |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 116 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $9 | +$2 +29% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 45¢ → 39¢ | $9 | −$2 −15% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 339 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $9 | −$9 −49% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 50 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$1 −6.2% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 35 | 35¢ → 25¢ | $9 | −$4 −30% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 315 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $9 | −$11 −56% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 41 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?Ends in 75d | Yes | 390 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $9 | −$5 −36% |
