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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 22% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 18¢ · 25¢ (7¢) | $45 | in 75d |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 16% | +1 pts | −6 pts | 14¢ · 19¢ (5¢) | $134 | in 75d |
| Inter Miami CF | 14% | — | +1 pts | 13¢ · 16¢ (3¢) | — | in 75d |
| St. Louis City SC | 11% | +4 pts | +5 pts | 9¢ · 13¢ (3¢) | $2.02K | in 75d |
| Philadelphia Union | 9% | +2 pts | +3 pts | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | $1.97K | in 75d |
| Chicago Fire FC | 5% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (<1¢) | $191 | in 75d |
| FC Dallas | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Los Angeles FC | 5% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $150 | in 75d |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 4% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| New England Revolution | 4% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | $53.8 | in 75d |
| New York Red Bulls | 3% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 75d |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Charlotte FC | 3% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| FC Cincinnati | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $5.3 | in 75d |
| Orlando City SC | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $49.7 | in 75d |
| Colorado Rapids | 1% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| LA Galaxy | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Columbus Crew | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| New York City FC | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Toronto FC | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $81.7 | in 75d |
| San Diego FC | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| D.C. United | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $2.9 | in 75d |
| Portland Timbers | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Atlanta United FC | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Austin FC | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Minnesota United FC | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| CF Montréal | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Real Salt Lake | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | purplegatto3 fills | Inter Miami CF | BuyNo86¢ | $5,291 | −$13 −0.2% | 4 |
| 18d | ENGR89422 fills | Portland Timbers | SellNo>99¢ | $293,581 | −$348 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | ENGR89423 fills | New York Red Bulls | SellNo>99¢ → 97¢ | $306,988 | +$8,446 +2.8% | — |
| 20d | ENGR89411 fills | LA Galaxy | SellNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $147,002 | +$369 +0.3% | — |
| 21d | 111rem | D.C. United | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | $0 0.0% | 4 |
| 21d |  DavidShekel2 fills | Philadelphia Union | BuyNo95¢ → 91¢ | $8,451 | −$347 −4.1% | 8 |
| 22d | ENGR8944 fills | Columbus Crew | SellNo>99¢ | $53,577 | +$188 +0.4% | — |
| 29d | Kontroll | Toronto FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,008 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | ENGR8942 fills | D.C. United | SellNo>99¢ | $26,416 | −$53 −0.2% | — |
| 35d | ENGR8942 fills | Toronto FC | SellNo>99¢ | $26,386 | +$13 +0.1% | — |
| 35d | ENGR8942 fills | Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SellNo>99¢ | $26,579 | −$27 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | ENGR8942 fills | Austin FC | SellNo>99¢ | $26,659 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 38d | Kontroll | Toronto FC | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | 4 |
| 55d | souperman2 fills | Inter Miami CF | BuyNo75¢ → 86¢ | $3,762 | +$527 +14% | 4 |
| 56d | 0x53eCc53E7 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | BuyYes15¢ → 16¢ | $1,136 | +$119 +10% | 24 |
| 89d |  mooseborzoi | San Jose Earthquakes | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $73,286 | +$1,224 +1.7% | 4 |
| 91d | mooseborzoi6 fills | Chicago Fire FC | BuyNo94¢ → 95¢ | $93,540 | +$84 +0.1% | 8 |
| 97d | SweetChariot | Inter Miami CF | BuyNo72¢ → 86¢ | $1,126 | +$211 +19% | 4 |
| 98d | petanimal3 fills | Inter Miami CF | BuyNo72¢ → 86¢ | $8,640 | +$1,620 +19% | 4 |
| 109d | 222capitalastra | Houston Dynamo FC | SellNo98¢ → 96¢ | $1,258 | +$29 +2.3% | — |
| 109d | 222capitalastra | Houston Dynamo FC | BuyNo98¢ → 96¢ | $1,203 | −$29 −2.4% | 4 |
| 111d | wojak63338 | New York Red Bulls | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,057 | +$15 +1.4% | — |
| 111d | wojak63338 | New York Red Bulls | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $1,007 | −$15 −1.5% | 4 |
| 112d | 11market | New York Red Bulls | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,153 | +$16 +1.4% | — |
| 112d | 11market | New York Red Bulls | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $1,121 | −$17 −1.5% | 4 |
| 112d | 920kekvanguard | New York Red Bulls | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,031 | +$14 +1.4% | — |
| 112d | 66odyssey | Minnesota United FC | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,215 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 112d | 66odyssey | Minnesota United FC | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,167 | +$10 +0.9% | 4 |
| 115d | 4orbit | Minnesota United FC | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,177 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 115d | 4orbit | Minnesota United FC | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,178 | +$10 +0.9% | 4 |
| 117d | 23arc | Minnesota United FC | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,236 | +$11 +0.9% | 4 |
| 131d | 2038pioneer | New York Red Bulls | SellNo99¢ → 97¢ | $1,334 | +$25 +1.9% | — |
| 131d | 2038pioneer | New York Red Bulls | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $1,310 | −$26 −2.0% | 4 |
| 134d | 1993infinityterra | FC Dallas | SellNo99¢ → 95¢ | $1,029 | +$46 +4.5% | — |
| 149d | 0xe8c7…ca732 fills | CF Montréal | SellNo>99¢ | $22,773 | −$57 −0.3% | — |
| 149d | 0xe8c7…ca733 fills | CF Montréal | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,773 | +$57 +0.3% | 4 |
| 156d |  Hyperlong | FC Cincinnati | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $2,262 | +$44 +1.9% | 4 |
| 160d | gaia200 | Austin FC | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,045 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 164d | IsolHde | Orlando City SC | SellNo98¢ → 99¢ | $2,573 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 165d | IsolHde | Orlando City SC | BuyNo99¢ | $2,600 | −$19 −0.7% | 4 |
| 183d | Margo142 | Charlotte FC | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,059 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 183d | hera713dario | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,020 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | Bobbi9942 fills | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $2,142 | −$5 −0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | Elina338 | Charlotte FC | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,005 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 183d | johan547bertha | Charlotte FC | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,124 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 183d | Elina338 | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,091 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | johan547bertha | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,124 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | cherihector1174 | Charlotte FC | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,121 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 183d | cherihector1174 | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,121 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | alexdon494 | Charlotte FC | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,116 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 183d | alexdon494 | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,116 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | aden77nathan | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,125 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | angelica407suzanne | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,131 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | Tayla421 | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,143 | −$3 −0.3% | 4 |
| 183d | Margo142 | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,058 | −$2 −0.2% | 4 |
| 183d | aidanraylan2655 | Charlotte FC | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,138 | +$1 +0.1% | — |
| 183d | supsdirecttllc | Charlotte FC | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,151 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 183d | nath511hailee | Charlotte FC | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,124 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 183d | alice192helina | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,159 | −$2 −0.2% | 4 |
| 183d | nath511hailee | Charlotte FC | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,122 | −$2 −0.2% | 4 |
HyperwellNerdZ13,364 shares
saintaphextwin3,392 shares
thefakenick349 sharesThis market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 22¢ for Nashville SC means the market gives it about 22%.