| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | Yes | 3,931 | 20¢ → 7¢ | $255 | −$546 −68% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,400 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $217 | −$44 −17% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 237 | 18¢ → 87¢ | $206 | +$163 +383% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,066 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $169 | −$112 −40% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,781 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $119 | −$225 −65% |
| Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?Ends in 75d | No | 190 | 16¢ → 53¢ | $100 | +$70 +234% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,450 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $97 | −$239 −71% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,224 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $93 | −$45 −33% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 15¢ → 28¢ | $71 | +$33 +88% |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,800 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $70 | −$177 −72% |
| Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 698 | 24¢ → 7¢ | $49 | −$122 −71% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | Yes | 2,201 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $47 | −$31 −39% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 19¢ → 89¢ | $44 | +$35 +378% |
| Plague pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,229 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $36 | +$7 +26% |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 13¢ → 70¢ | $35 | +$29 +438% |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,200 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$15 −32% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,548 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $32 | −$16 −34% |
| Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 223 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $30 | −$10 −25% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 530 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $29 | −$23 −44% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 224 | 43¢ → 13¢ | $28 | −$69 −71% |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 715 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $24 | −$39 −62% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,069 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $24 | −$43 −65% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,201 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $23 | −$56 −71% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 50 | 29¢ → 45¢ | $22 | +$8 +53% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 55¢ → 11¢ | $21 | −$89 −81% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 75d | Yes | 450 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $20 | −$4 −17% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,500 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $19 | −$40 −68% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,479 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $18 | −$137 −88% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | No | 50 | 24¢ → 35¢ | $18 | +$6 +46% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 70 | 15¢ → 24¢ | $16 | +$6 +53% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $16 | −$24 −60% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 591 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $16 | −$20 −55% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 700 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $15 | −$46 −76% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,061 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $14 | −$69 −83% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 23¢ → 7¢ | $13 | −$33 −72% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 129 | 51¢ → 9¢ | $12 | −$54 −82% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,100 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$59 −86% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 350 | 20¢ → 2¢ | $8 | −$63 −89% |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 261 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$1 −11% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$27 −79% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 20¢ → 19¢ | $6 | −$0 −7.5% |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$16 −75% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 255 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$11 −69% |
| Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 41 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $5 | +$1 +22% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$7 −60% |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 133 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$7 −63% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$7 −64% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 150 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$13 −79% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$24 −89% |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$6 −69% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$11 −82% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$3 −58% |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$5 −73% |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 168 | 34¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$56 −98% |
| Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$1 −48% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 267 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 193 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,150 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 206 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 333 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,545 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 13 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 538 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,291 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$541 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$131 −100% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 558 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 750 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,923 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,600 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,194 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$131 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 127 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will SpaceX say "Cursor" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,090 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 459 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$144 −100% |
| Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,819 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$308 −100% |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 174 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,345 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,197 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$139 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 482 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,723 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$723 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,575 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$370 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,010 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,356 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 681 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,008 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 341 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
