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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $422 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $3,094 | +$45 +1.4% | 23 | |
| 82d | 0x8931…a90c | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BuyNo97¢ | $1,347 | +$12 +0.9% | 22 |
| 121d | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,188 | +$42 +3.6% | 24 | |
| 138d | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $4,648 | −$303 −6.5% | — | |
| 186d | ALevinson | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $2,250 | +$184 +8.2% | 27 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 3%.