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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | +23 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| June 30 | 0% | −15 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| August 30 | 0% | +1 pts | −3 pts | — · 35¢ | — | — |
| October 31 | 100% | +13 pts | +37 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | — |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Dr.PNL143 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.