| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 11,100 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $10,434 | +$77 +0.7% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 6,255 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $6,049 | +$311 +5.4% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,100 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,012 | +$22 +2.2% |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 967 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $949 | +$38 +4.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 500 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $482 | +$16 +3.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $423 | +$3 +0.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 500 | 62¢ → 81¢ | $402 | +$90 +29% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $383 | +$5 +1.4% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 364 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $340 | +$83 +32% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Ends in 75d | No | 331 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $321 | +$30 +10% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 204 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $191 | −$5 −2.3% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $191 | −$2 −1.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $188 | +$19 +11% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 125 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $124 | +$10 +9.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $76 | −$3 −3.2% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 61 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $59 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 132 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 115 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 261 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 330 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$225 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4,266 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,320 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 89 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 283 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$258 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 131 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,600 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$365 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 985 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$370 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 389 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 332 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 147 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$139 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 400 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$155 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 938 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,025 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$210 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 530 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$365 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 200 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 133 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 120 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 186 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 400 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 400 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$172 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,621 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$839 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 398 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$249 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,964 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$573 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 133 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 291 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 300 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,600 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,306 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 797 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$546 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 270 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 789 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$161 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 285 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 111 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 101 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 912 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$355 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 233 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 94 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 626 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$275 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,900 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,380 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$487 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 114 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 200 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 123 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 200 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$175 −100% |
| Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 93 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 431 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 394 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 135 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 206 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 404 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$148 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 982 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$343 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 125 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 193 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 221 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,043 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$498 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 412 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$153 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 36 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 800 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$360 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 167 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 900 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$443 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,323 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$900 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 701 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$516 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,433 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,254 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 112 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
