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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 100% | — | +96 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 10 | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110d | Trustinghorse2 fills | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,750 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 110d | Meduzinator | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 110d | rewrewrewrwe | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,032 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 110d | 033033033 | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,215 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 110d |  yen4u | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 111d | Test669 | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,391 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 111d |  EmeraldEdge | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 111d | DD1998 | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,075 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 111d |  JasonPunos | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,753 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 111d | Unfinished-July | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,287 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 111d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 111d | Trustinghorse7 fills | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $68,993 | +$162 +0.2% | 4 |
| 111d | AmazingAmy | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $34,663 | +$182 +0.5% | 4 |
| 111d | 0x93a9…0b88 | June 30 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,007 | −$54 −1.8% | — |
| 112d | ChikaBoomPow | June 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,089 | −$36 −1.2% | — |
| 112d |  Car3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $25,017 | +$493 +2.0% | 4 |
| 112d | Arashi95273 fills | June 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,935 | +$405 +5.1% | 4 |
| 112d |  Gleaming-Pear2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,238 | +$178 +3.4% | 4 |
| 112d | Threadbare-Signal | June 30 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,354 | −$84 −3.6% | — |
| 113d |  0xbadbeef | June 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$144 +3.1% | 4 |
| 113d | DD1998 | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$79 +3.9% | 4 |
| 113d |  Aq4ExePrd22Jn2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$207 +4.5% | 4 |
| 113d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | June 30 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | −$44 −4.2% | — |
| 113d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$45 +4.4% | 4 |
| 113d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | June 30 | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $10,948 | −$10,948 −100% | 6 |
| 113d | Taut-Witness-Scraper | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,371 | +$150 +1.2% | 4 |
| 113d | HornyBibi | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$36 +2.1% | 4 |
| 113d | junkbonds | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,334 | +$97 +4.1% | 4 |
| 113d | Meduzinator | June 30 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$162 +14% | 4 |
| 162d | Admirable-Poem | June 30 | SellNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,911 | +$1,911 +100% | — |
| 248d | Admirable-Poem | June 30 | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 258d |  JJo3 fills | January 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,183 | +$47 +0.3% | 4 |
| 258d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly3 fills | January 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,059 | +$577 +5.7% | 4 |
| 260d | nedsta | January 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,039 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 262d |  Opium42 fills | January 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,080 | +$81 +2.0% | 4 |
| 263d | Huludubu5 fills | January 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,973 | −$156 −2.2% | — |
| 263d |  net-50CUT2 fills | January 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,740 | +$44 +1.2% | 4 |
| 264d |  Parz1vaI | January 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 264d |  Atsegine | January 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 265d |  carySantano | January 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 267d |  purecashmemories | January 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,572 | −$28 −1.8% | — |
| 268d |  ParaNormal | January 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,697 | +$55 +2.0% | 4 |
| 269d |  NastParMusk | January 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$29 +2.6% | 4 |
| 271d |  Plant2tri | January 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$47 +3.1% | 4 |
| 271d |  LevonS | January 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,989 | +$154 +3.1% | 4 |
| 272d | ScottyNooo | January 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$32 +3.1% | 4 |
| 272d | Eatpraylove2 fills | January 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,757 | +$350 +9.3% | 4 |
| 274d |  TealV3 fills | January 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $10,412 | +$1,439 +14% | 4 |
| 274d |  highriskt2 fills | January 31 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,399 | −$284 −8.3% | — |
| 274d | Huludubu2 fills | January 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,954 | +$655 +8.2% | 4 |
| 274d | flipfloppity | January 31 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,967 | −$171 −8.7% | — |
| 275d | pkz | January 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,393 | +$435 +9.9% | 4 |
| 276d | madman666 | January 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | +$189 +7.5% | 4 |
| 277d | Car | January 31 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | −$112 −8.7% | — |
| 279d | Abcdee | January 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,976 | +$318 +6.4% | 4 |
| 279d | nedsta3 fills | January 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $12,661 | +$2,660 +21% | 4 |
| 279d |  MisTKy32 fills | January 10 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,266 | −$533 −4.0% | — |
| 279d | ScottyNooo2 fills | January 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,400 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 279d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | January 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,511 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 279d |  localguy | January 10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,366 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
Ekko89119 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 100%.