| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 4,000 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $2,900 | +$250 +9.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 3,571 | 13¢ → 53¢ | $1,909 | +$1,445 +312% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $1,250 | −$10 −0.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | Yes | 1,500 | 37¢ → 36¢ | $540 | −$15 −2.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 21¢ → 23¢ | $225 | +$15 +7.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 42¢ → 11¢ | $33 | −$93 −74% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 300 | 42¢ → 7¢ | $20 | −$107 −85% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 23¢ → 10¢ | $19 | −$26 −58% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 472 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $19 | −$16 −46% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 413 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $18 | −$27 −60% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 17¢ | $17 | +$8 +99% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 50¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$41 −81% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$7 −87% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,700 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 317 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,494 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,028 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 499 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,379 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,936 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,790 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$559 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,290 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$143 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,400 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$256 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,783 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,794 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,713 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 463 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 572 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 923 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$126 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$815 −100% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 322 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,165 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$566 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,504 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,209 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,325 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$124 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 555 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40,197 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$604 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,515 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$213 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 766 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$302 −100% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 230 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$144 −100% |
| Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 298 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,098 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$230 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$193 −100% |
| Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,259 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Bobby" or "Kennedy" during healthcare event?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 651 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,285 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,743 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43,017 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,464 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$190 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 550 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$154 −100% |
| Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersSettled - ready to redeem | Under | 246 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$177 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 630 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,499 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$144 −100% |
| Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 972 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,414 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,925 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,772 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Hims say "Regulation" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$193 −100% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during healthcare event?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Pig" in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 91 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 965 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Giraffe" in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Julie Allemand: Points O/U 6.5Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 165 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 593 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 485 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Toronto Tempo | 1,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,812 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$631 −100% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,061 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 707 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$186 −100% |
| Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Washington Mystics | 2 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 665 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,855 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$381 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 816 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,935 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,330 −100% |
