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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | 100% | +5 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 439d |
| Morgan Stanley | 0% | −1 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 439d |
| JPMorgan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 439d |
| Bank of America | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 439d |
| Citigroup | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 439d |
| Barclays | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 439d |
| UBS | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 439d |
| Deutsche Bank | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 439d |
| Wells Fargo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 439d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| Bank T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 439d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146d |  RealWigger | Goldman Sachs | SellYes>99¢ | $3,948 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 146d | tothemarsandbeyond | Goldman Sachs | SellYes>99¢ | $15,934 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 146d | MattNickelJP2 fills | Goldman Sachs | SellYes>99¢ | $14,875 | −$33 −0.2% | — |
| 146d | Somber-Ice | Goldman Sachs | SellYes>99¢ | $6,047 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 146d |  ZhangMuZhi..7 fills | Morgan Stanley | BuyNo>99¢ | $62,694 | +$129 +0.2% | 20 |
| 146d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Goldman Sachs | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,919 | +$81 +0.8% | 20 |
| 146d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Wells Fargo | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,360 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 147d |  web3player | Citigroup | SellNo>99¢ | $3,173 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 149d | 528terracypher | Bank of America | SellNo>99¢ | $1,025 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 150d | suntori | Goldman Sachs | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,923 | +$29 +1.5% | 20 |
| 150d | web3player | Citigroup | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,418 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 150d | Somber-Ice | Goldman Sachs | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,546 | +$86 +1.9% | 20 |
| 150d | Genuine-Polo | Goldman Sachs | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$81 +7.5% | 20 |
| 183d | hb9807g98fg78hg | Citigroup | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,113 | −$31 −1.0% | — |
| 183d | JhgIUGY8yG8g807 | Citigroup | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,107 | −$31 −1.0% | — |
| 183d | hb9807g98fg78hg | Citigroup | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,113 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 183d | JhgIUGY8yG8g807 | Citigroup | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,107 | +$31 +1.0% | 20 |
| 183d | JHG87tg87G87t897 | Citigroup | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,095 | +$44 +1.4% | 20 |
| 183d | JHIG89gv87G8 | Citigroup | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,101 | +$44 +1.4% | 20 |
| 197d |  unsc | Morgan Stanley | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 20 |
| 201d | ScottRoth2230 | Goldman Sachs | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,227 | −$1,227 −100% | 20 |
| 204d | Epos | Deutsche Bank | SellNo>99¢ | $1,484 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 204d | Epos | Deutsche Bank | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,485 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | goingsocial | Goldman Sachs | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $7,674 | −$7,674 −100% | 20 |
| 214d | rated | Wells Fargo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 218d | 77771 | Goldman Sachs | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,161 | −$1,161 −100% | 20 |
| 219d | rated | Barclays | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 220d | influenz.eth | JPMorgan | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 220d | influenz.eth | Bank of America | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$15 +1.3% | 20 |
| 220d | influenz.eth | Citigroup | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 220d | influenz.eth | UBS | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 285d | stux | Morgan Stanley | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,487 | −$1,487 −100% | 20 |
| 294d | vishy2773 | Morgan Stanley | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,073 | −$1,073 −100% | 20 |
gopay1,000 sharesThis market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Goldman Sachs means the market gives it about 100%.