Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | Jaded-Mail | Tim Walz in jail by March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 200d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | Tim Walz in jail by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,645 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 281d |  DEGENKHAN | Tim Walz in jail by March 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | −$34 −2.5% | — |
Haradwaith1,665 shares
ImJustKen1,698 shares95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b041,450 shares
XAE12Archangel150 shares
SiSi25 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about <1%.