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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dune: Messiah | 80% | −7 pts | −8 pts | 73¢ · 87¢ (15¢) | — | in 166d |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 40% | — | — | 39¢ · 40¢ (1¢) | — | in 166d |
| Michael | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 166d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209d |  DiamondHands11 | Will "Project Hail Mary" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,909 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
mewmew1638 shares
ImJustKen91 shares
pein.rikudo75 shares
LornaPredicts165 shares
Dr.PNL69 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list. The resolution source for this market will be IMDb (https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 80¢ for Dune: Messiah means the market gives it about 80%.