Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wild Horse Nine | 63% | +7 pts | +7 pts | 59¢ · 67¢ (8¢) | $72 | in 257d |
| The Debut | 19% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 17¢ · 20¢ (3¢) | $30 | in 257d |
| Obsession | 8% | — | — | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| Club Kid | 6% | 0 pts | +4 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 257d |
| Elsinore | 6% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 257d |
| Digger | 5% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 257d |
| The Drama | 4% | — | — | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 257d |
| The Invite | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 257d |
| Fjord | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 257d |
| Josephine | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 257d |
| Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 257d |
| The Odyssey | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 257d |
| The Black Ball | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| A Place in Hell | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| Forgotten Island | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| Fatherland | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 257d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56d |  EsperanzasDESTROYER | Wild Horse Nine | BuyNo62¢ → 37¢ | $2,915 | −$1,186 −41% | 40 |
| 68d |  ImJustKen | Wild Horse Nine | BuyNo62¢ → 37¢ | $1,391 | −$556 −40% | 40 |
Highboard3,715 shares
Hyperlong1,011 sharesImJustKen5,033 sharesEsperanzasDESTROYER1,949 shares
Anjun222 shares
Haradwaith170 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 63¢ for Wild Horse Nine means the market gives it about 63%.