| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 3,304 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $2,593 | +$10 +0.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,295 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $1,894 | +$73 +4.0% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 1,936 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $1,613 | −$6 −0.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,322 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $1,157 | +$10 +0.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,325 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $1,017 | +$161 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,239 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $775 | +$7 +0.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 917 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $766 | +$42 +5.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,114 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $696 | −$10 −1.4% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 3,386 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $593 | −$107 −15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,187 | 34¢ → 37¢ | $433 | +$30 +7.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 346 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $344 | +$6 +1.9% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 349 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $330 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 322 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $311 | +$4 +1.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,036 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $306 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,017 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $287 | −$3 −1.2% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 306 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $283 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 295 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $282 | +$4 +1.4% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 265 | 53¢ → 83¢ | $219 | +$78 +55% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 203 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $184 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 713 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $175 | −$4 −2.1% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 231 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $175 | −$3 −1.6% |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 170 | 76¢ → >99¢ | $169 | +$40 +31% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $169 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 230 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $166 | +$3 +2.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 173 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $147 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 142 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $140 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 152 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $138 | +$0 +0.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 398 | 56¢ → 34¢ | $136 | −$86 −39% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 142 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $134 | +$5 +3.9% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | No | 152 | 56¢ → 84¢ | $128 | +$43 +51% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 128 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $125 | +$6 +5.0% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 419 | 26¢ → 30¢ | $124 | +$16 +15% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 966 | 8¢ → 13¢ | $121 | +$43 +56% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 145 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $119 | +$5 +4.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 132 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $116 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 116 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $115 | +$2 +2.0% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 140 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $110 | −$8 −6.5% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 160 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $107 | −$2 −1.5% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 137 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $103 | +$3 +3.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 897 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $103 | −$40 −28% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 228 | 45¢ → 45¢ | $101 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 105 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $100 | +$3 +3.6% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | Yes | 127 | 30¢ → 79¢ | $100 | +$62 +162% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 114 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $99 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 101 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 135 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $94 | +$5 +5.0% |
| Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 98 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $92 | +$4 +4.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 149 | 58¢ → 61¢ | $90 | +$4 +4.2% |
| Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 98 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $88 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Ends in 653d | No | 98 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $87 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 93 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $86 | +$25 +40% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $83 | +$8 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 118 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $82 | +$1 +1.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 130 | 56¢ → 63¢ | $81 | +$8 +11% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 105 | 82¢ → 75¢ | $79 | −$7 −8.5% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 100 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $78 | −$7 −7.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 113 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $77 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 868 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $74 | −$37 −34% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 265 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $73 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 93 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $70 | −$2 −3.2% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 70 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $69 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 74 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $67 | +$3 +4.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 75 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $67 | +$6 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 111 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $66 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 68 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $66 | +$6 +9.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 71 | 94¢ → 90¢ | $63 | −$3 −4.8% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 256 | 51¢ → 25¢ | $63 | −$68 −52% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 440d | No | 76 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $63 | −$2 −2.9% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,131 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $62 | −$70 −53% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 11d | Yes | 73 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $61 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 130 | 41¢ → 47¢ | $61 | +$7 +13% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 82 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $61 | −$2 −3.2% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 42¢ → 28¢ | $57 | −$27 −32% |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 420 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $57 | +$5 +10% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 59 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $57 | +$9 +18% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 57 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $56 | +$7 +15% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 75 | 51¢ → 73¢ | $54 | +$16 +42% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 71 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $54 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 80 | 59¢ → 67¢ | $53 | +$6 +13% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 53 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $50 | +$2 +3.7% |
| Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 45 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $45 | +$5 +12% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $45 | +$5 +14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 70 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $44 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.8M in September?Ends in 16d | No | 48 | 68¢ → 91¢ | $43 | +$11 +32% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | Yes | 118 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $42 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 89 | 43¢ → 46¢ | $41 | +$3 +7.0% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 56 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 172 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $41 | +$13 +46% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 78 | 46¢ → 52¢ | $40 | +$4 +12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 96 | 43¢ → 42¢ | $40 | −$2 −4.5% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 79d | No | 231 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $38 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 52 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $37 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 48 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $37 | +$3 +8.2% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 54 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $36 | +$2 +7.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 89 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $35 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 84 | 29¢ → 41¢ | $34 | +$10 +40% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $34 | +$5 +19% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 83 | 35¢ → 39¢ | $32 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 42 | 72¢ → 76¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 170 | 29¢ → 19¢ | $31 | −$18 −37% |
