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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Wilson | 72% | −4 pts | +8 pts | 71¢ · 72¢ (1¢) | — | in 43d |
| Ben Carroll | 17% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 13¢ · 22¢ (9¢) | $200 | in 43d |
| Warren Pickering | 7% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 12¢ (11¢) | $25 | in 43d |
| David Southwick | 4% | — | — | <1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 43d |
| Jacinta Allan | 3% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 43d |
| Danny O'Brien | 3% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 43d |
| Ellen Sandell | 1% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 43d |
| Sonya Kilkenny | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 43d |
| Gabrielle Williams | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 43d |
| James Newbury | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 43d |
| Steve Dimopoulos | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 43d |
| Sam Groth | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
| Emma Kealy | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 43d |
| Jaclyn Symes | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
| Brad Battin | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
probability928 shares
Haradwaith186 shares
Astera162 shares
Mithrandir.100 shares
MarvinBeakTrading50 shares
2B9S20 sharesThe 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 72¢ for Jess Wilson means the market gives it about 72%.