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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 46% | — | −11 pts | 45¢ · 46¢ (1¢) | — | in 179d |
| Italy | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 179d |
| Belgium | 3% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | — | in 179d |
| Croatia | 34% | — | +12 pts | 33¢ · 34¢ (1¢) | — | in 179d |
| Denmark | 32% | +1 pts | +12 pts | 13¢ · 50¢ (37¢) | — | in 179d |
| Greece | 3% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 179d |
| Czechia | 89% | — | +2 pts | 87¢ · 90¢ (3¢) | — | in 179d |
| England | 3% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 179d |
| Norway | 16% | −1 pts | +3 pts | 10¢ · 21¢ (11¢) | — | in 179d |
| Türkiye | 89% | +1 pts | +6 pts | 85¢ · 92¢ (7¢) | $360 | in 179d |
| Portugal | 1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 179d |
| France | 3% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 179d |
| Spain | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 179d |
| Serbia | 80% | −5 pts | −8 pts | 72¢ · 88¢ (16¢) | $20 | in 179d |
| Germany | 7% | — | −7 pts | 5¢ · 9¢ (4¢) | — | in 179d |
| Netherlands | 3% | — | −8 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 179d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 46¢ for Wales means the market gives it about 46%.