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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 21% | −1 pts | +8 pts | 17¢ · 25¢ (8¢) | $20 | in 102d |
| Brock Purdy | 20% | +2 pts | −3 pts | 20¢ · 20¢ (<1¢) | $123 | in 102d |
| Jared Goff | 20% | +3 pts | +1 pts | 17¢ · 22¢ (5¢) | $57.3 | in 102d |
| Matthew Stafford | 15% | −3 pts | +5 pts | 12¢ · 18¢ (6¢) | $410 | in 102d |
| Patrick Mahomes | 11% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 11¢ · 11¢ (<1¢) | $29.5 | in 87d |
| Dak Prescott | 8% | 0 pts | +4 pts | 5¢ · 12¢ (7¢) | — | in 102d |
| Trevor Lawrence | 8% | +1 pts | −4 pts | 5¢ · 11¢ (5¢) | — | in 87d |
| Jaxson Dart | 6% | 0 pts | +5 pts | <1¢ · 11¢ (11¢) | — | in 87d |
| Kirk Cousins | 6% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 9¢ (7¢) | — | in 87d |
| Josh Allen | 5% | −1 pts | −6 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 87d |
| Jalen Hurts | 5% | −1 pts | +2 pts | — · 9¢ | — | in 102d |
| Bryce Young | 4% | — | −1 pts | — · 7¢ | — | in 102d |
| Jordan Love | 3% | −3 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 102d |
| JJ McCarthy | 3% | −2 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 102d |
| Drake Maye | 3% | 0 pts | −24 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 87d |
| Justin Herbert | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 87d |
| Sam Darnold | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 102d |
| C.J. Stroud | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 87d |
| Bo Nix | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 87d |
| Deshaun Watson | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 87d |
| Caleb Williams | 2% | −1 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jayden Daniels | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 2% | −1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| Tyler Shough | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| Cam Ward | 1% | −1 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 87d |
| Daniel Jones | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 87d |
| Aaron Rodgers | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 87d |
| Jacoby Brissett | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 102d |
| Geno Smith | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 87d |
| Carson Beck | 1% | — | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | in 102d |
| Kyler Murray | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 102d |
| Lamar Jackson | 1% | — | −3 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 87d |
| Malik Willis | <1% | — | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | in 87d |
| Shedeur Sanders | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 87d |
| Fernando Mendoza | <1% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 87d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
LornaPredicts300 shares
Dr.PNL47 shares
StudyPrediction13 sharesThis market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 21¢ for Joe Burrow means the market gives it about 21%.