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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgia Meloni | 54% | +4 pts | −1 pts | 52¢ · 55¢ (3¢) | $261 | in 807d |
| Elly Schlein | 19% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 17¢ · 20¢ (3¢) | $10 | in 807d |
| Giuseppe Conte | 18% | +1 pts | +5 pts | 16¢ · 20¢ (4¢) | $115 | in 807d |
| Roberto Vannacci | 8% | 0 pts | — | 7¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $15.8 | in 805d |
| Silvia Salis | 6% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | $5 | in 805d |
| Mario Draghi | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $168 | in 807d |
| Matteo Renzi | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $5 | in 805d |
| Angelo Bonelli | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $5 | in 805d |
| Carlo Calenda | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $5 | in 805d |
| Antonio Tajani | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $5 | in 807d |
| Matteo Salvini | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $5 | in 807d |
| Guido Crosetto | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $5 | in 807d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d | KiernanMeister | Roberto Vannacci | BuyNo90¢ → 92¢ | $4,470 | +$73 +1.6% | 10 |
| 97d |  Filobestia2 fills | Roberto Vannacci | BuyNo90¢ → 92¢ | $2,352 | +$40 +1.7% | 10 |
| 119d | Romiche22 | Roberto Vannacci | BuyNo84¢ → 92¢ | $1,022 | +$98 +9.6% | 15 |
Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy413 shares
FrozenParasite272 shares
LornaPredicts209 sharesFilobestia291 shares
Kastellvalen205 sharesThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 54¢ for Giorgia Meloni means the market gives it about 54%.