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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera | 62% | −1 pts | +5 pts | 61¢ · 64¢ (4¢) | $496 | in 233d |
| Alfonso Sánchez García | 6% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 233d |
| Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 233d |
| Floria María Hernández Hernández | 3% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 233d |
| Danae Figueroa | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Adriana Dávila Fernández | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Concepción Sánchez González | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Raymundo Vázquez Conchas | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Irma Yordana Garay Loredo | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Miriam Martínez Sánchez | <1% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 232d |
| Josefina Rodríguez Zamora | <1% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 232d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Alfonso Sánchez García | BuyNo83¢ → 95¢ | $1,659 | +$229 +14% | 10 | |
| 68d | Bigggggggg | Danae Figueroa | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $2,073 | −$16 −0.8% | 10 |
| 68d | Bigggggggg | Alfonso Sánchez García | BuyNo59¢ → 95¢ | $1,223 | +$742 +61% | 10 |
| 68d | Bigggggggg | Floria María Hernández Hernández | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $2,058 | −$31 −1.5% | 10 |
| 68d | Danae Figueroa | BuyNo90¢ → 99¢ | $2,367 | +$223 +9.4% | 10 | |
| 68d | Concepción Sánchez González | BuyNo82¢ → >99¢ | $1,153 | +$248 +21% | 10 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 62¢ for Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera means the market gives it about 62%.