Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 28% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 21¢ · 34¢ (13¢) | — | in 75d |
| $10M | 31% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 26¢ · 35¢ (9¢) | — | in 75d |
| $40M | 24% | +1 pts | — | 22¢ · 25¢ (3¢) | — | in 75d |
| $60M | 23% | — | −1 pts | 21¢ · 25¢ (4¢) | — | in 75d |
| $100M | 17% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $300M | 7% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | — | in 75d |
| $200M | 10% | — | — | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251d | 0x15ce9A512F0d4475ABb6DbA71ae702E2Dc1703 | $10M | SellYes88¢ → 31¢ | $1,148 | +$748 +65% | — |
twe2nty48 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 28¢ for $20M means the market gives it about 28%.