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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | 99% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 98¢ · >99¢ (2¢) | — | in 25d |
| Dylan Cease | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Jacob deGrom | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Sonny Gray | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 25d |
| Tarik Skubal | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Garrett Crochet | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Cole Ragans | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Hunter Brown | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Max Fried | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Bryan Woo | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Logan Gilbert | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Kyle Bradish | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Joe Ryan | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Ranger Suarez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Nathan Eovaldi | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| George Kirby | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Carlos Rodón | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Kevin Gausman | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| MacKenzie Gore | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Jose Soriano | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Pablo Lopez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Gavin Williams | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 25d |
| Bryce Miller | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 25d |
| Gerrit Cole | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 25d |
| Parker Messick | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 25d |
| Drew Rasmussen | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 25d |
| Sean Burke | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 25d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | Igothackedd | Cam Schlittler | SellYes46¢ → 99¢ | $2,918 | −$3,352 −115% | — |
| 91d | pioudzE1rFalcon2 fills | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,507 | −$128 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | wittyKDr4OtteX2 fills | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,380 | −$125 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | wittyKDr4OtteX3 fills | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,482 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | pioudzE1rFalcon3 fills | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,612 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | hyppabDH9Owl2 fills | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,608 | −$132 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | happys8kgHaww2 fills | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,311 | −$124 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | boldwz1LKynx2 fills | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,455 | −$125 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | happys8kgHaww3 fills | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,412 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | boldwz1LKynx3 fills | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,556 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | hyppabDH9Owl3 fills | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,717 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | smartkCqxxat2 fills | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,387 | −$125 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | bravedBCfWolX2 fills | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,232 | −$124 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | britht1ikjCag2 fills | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,250 | −$121 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | bravedBCfWolX3 fills | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,332 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | smartkCqxxat3 fills | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,489 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | britht1ikjCag3 fills | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,347 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | Ready-Probability-RemoteNew account | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,399 | −$144 −0.9% | — |
| 91d | Inborn-NurseNew account | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,128 | −$131 −0.9% | — |
| 91d | wi7eusjXOwl2 fills | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,316 | −$139 −0.9% | — |
| 91d | Inborn-NurseNew account | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,231 | +$28 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | wi7eusjXOwl3 fills | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,427 | +$29 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | Ready-Probability-RemoteNew account | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,514 | +$29 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | Dear-Middleman-CornerNew account | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $14,278 | −$120 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | Unfolded-Couple-EffectiveNew account | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $14,992 | −$123 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | Welcome-Espalier-FallingoutNew account | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,452 | −$131 −0.8% | — |
| 91d | Welcome-Espalier-FallingoutNew account | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,560 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | Unfolded-Couple-EffectiveNew account | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,660 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | Dear-Middleman-CornerNew account | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,171 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | Suspicious-Lotion-PonyNew account | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,478 | −$133 −0.9% | — |
| 91d | Cooked-InnocenceNew account | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,320 | −$131 −0.9% | — |
| 91d | Pungent-FineNew account | Logan Gilbert | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $15,510 | −$133 −0.9% | — |
| 91d | Cooked-InnocenceNew account | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,428 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | Suspicious-Lotion-PonyNew account | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,600 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 91d | Pungent-FineNew account | Logan Gilbert | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,620 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | ealmKYCGOttcr10 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $17,078 | −$53 −0.3% | — |
| 113d | HittyfcewCat9 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $15,435 | −$47 −0.3% | — |
| 113d | ceevlrbnXTOtter15 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $34,449 | −$106 −0.3% | — |
| 113d | ealmKYCGOttcr10 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,106 | +$26 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | HittyfcewCat9 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,514 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | ceevlrbnXTOtter15 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $34,664 | +$52 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | keeekGieBnar9 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $15,294 | −$47 −0.3% | — |
| 113d | braevrF4uDaisy9 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $15,290 | −$47 −0.3% | — |
| 113d | cal44jmkFox9 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $15,292 | −$47 −0.3% | — |
| 113d | keeekGieBnar9 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,335 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | cal44jmkFox9 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,316 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | braevrF4uDaisy9 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,373 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | quicr0LGrBeak9 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $15,228 | −$52 −0.3% | — |
| 113d | silentizNCettOr9 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $15,399 | −$52 −0.3% | — |
| 113d | keeLAhwsnynx9 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $15,469 | −$53 −0.3% | — |
| 113d | keeLAhwsnynx9 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,565 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | silentizNCettOr9 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,441 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 113d | quicr0LGrBeak9 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,301 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 114d | Igothackedd2 fills | Cam Schlittler | BuyYes60¢ → 99¢ | $2,430 | +$1,606 +66% | 4 |
| 116d | bEaveSzLiragle5 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $15,711 | −$52 −0.3% | — |
| 116d | quietgAfBLion5 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $15,118 | −$50 −0.3% | — |
| 116d | quietgAfBLion5 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,445 | +$23 +0.2% | 4 |
| 116d | bEaveSzLiragle5 fills | Max Fried | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,846 | +$24 +0.2% | 4 |
| 116d | boldgrcRHeuon5 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $16,416 | −$48 −0.3% | — |
| 116d | calmXeAxDeer5 fills | Max Fried | SellNo>99¢ | $16,168 | −$47 −0.3% | — |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 99¢ for Cam Schlittler means the market gives it about 99%.