| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7,400 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $6,253 | +$64 +1.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 4,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $3,660 | −$20 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,500 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $3,168 | +$68 +2.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 2,800 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $2,030 | +$123 +6.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,200 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $1,991 | +$115 +6.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 2,000 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,985 | +$13 +0.7% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,100 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $1,869 | +$31 +1.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 3,137 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $1,677 | +$219 +15% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,100 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $1,565 | −$41 −2.6% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,709 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $1,564 | +$137 +9.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 1,500 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $1,358 | +$68 +5.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,200 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $1,062 | +$30 +2.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,350 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $1,036 | −$39 −3.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,650 | 56¢ → 63¢ | $1,031 | +$100 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,550 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $969 | −$10 −1.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 950 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $817 | +$112 +16% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $785 | −$47 −5.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 700 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $695 | +$2 +0.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 800 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $692 | +$28 +4.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 700 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $648 | +$11 +1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 800 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $564 | −$12 −2.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 650 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $562 | −$3 −0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $531 | +$69 +15% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 600 | 58¢ → 86¢ | $516 | +$166 +47% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 600 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $507 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 530 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $482 | +$18 +4.0% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 491 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $472 | +$151 +47% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 88¢ → 73¢ | $435 | −$93 −18% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 528 | 66¢ → 81¢ | $428 | +$78 +22% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 500 | 67¢ → 84¢ | $420 | +$85 +25% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 500 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $417 | +$52 +14% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 500 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $407 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 400 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $380 | +$4 +1.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,000 | 26¢ → 37¢ | $370 | +$110 +42% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 369 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $350 | +$4 +1.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $342 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $342 | −$10 −2.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 400 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $334 | −$2 −0.6% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 400 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $318 | −$14 −4.2% |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 400 | 61¢ → 80¢ | $318 | +$74 +30% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 418 | 85¢ → 76¢ | $316 | −$40 −11% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 400 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $310 | −$18 −5.5% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 313 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $286 | +$5 +1.7% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $272 | +$23 +9.0% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 64¢ → 43¢ | $258 | −$126 −33% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 600 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $201 | +$3 +1.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $200 | +$21 +12% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 214 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $199 | +$15 +8.2% |
| Halle Berry as Storm?Ends in 256d | No | 220 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $183 | +$12 +7.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $173 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 173 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $169 | +$17 +11% |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $165 | −$11 −6.3% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 62¢ | $124 | −$16 −11% |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 270 | 46¢ → 37¢ | $100 | −$24 −20% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 250 | 26¢ → 38¢ | $94 | +$29 +44% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 225 | 40¢ → 36¢ | $81 | −$9 −10% |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?Ends in 75d | No | 148 | 18¢ → 52¢ | $77 | +$51 +191% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $72 | +$13 +21% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 80 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $71 | +$6 +10% |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 91 | 53¢ → 76¢ | $68 | +$20 +41% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 10¢ → 16¢ | $62 | +$22 +55% |
| Waymo IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $56 | +$6 +13% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 49 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $49 | +$3 +6.0% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$5 +11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$3 +6.7% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 46 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $40 | +$3 +6.7% |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 51 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $34 | −$5 −12% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 22¢ → 6¢ | $28 | −$83 −75% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $20 | +$4 +24% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 19 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $17 | +$2 +13% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 33¢ → 24¢ | $14 | −$6 −29% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 18 | 59¢ → 74¢ | $13 | +$3 +25% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $3 | +$1 +19% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4 | 67¢ → 60¢ | $2 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +10.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 550 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$507 −100% |
| Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 363 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$168 −100% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,100 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 700 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$506 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,921 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Rockstar confirms GTA VI gameplay leaked?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$162 −100% |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$196 −100% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,516 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$309 −100% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 317 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |