| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 11,120 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $8,062 | +$427 +5.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,597 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $5,446 | +$446 +8.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,932 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $5,013 | +$13 +0.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,500 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $3,454 | −$364 −9.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 4,190 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $3,206 | +$206 +6.9% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,800 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2,723 | +$90 +3.4% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 2,610 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $2,258 | −$51 −2.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,378 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $2,200 | +$357 +19% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,395 | 63¢ → 91¢ | $2,180 | +$679 +45% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,148 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $2,130 | +$130 +6.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,040 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $1,982 | +$167 +9.2% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,973 | 34¢ → >99¢ | $1,969 | +$1,305 +196% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 4,070 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $1,923 | −$74 −3.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,898 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $1,661 | +$10 +0.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,700 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $1,621 | −$11 −0.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,679 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $1,519 | +$235 +18% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,580 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,493 | +$148 +11% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,240 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,192 | +$11 +0.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,295 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $1,133 | +$133 +13% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,182 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,117 | +$117 +12% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 17d | No | 1,126 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $1,114 | +$58 +5.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,407 | 69¢ → 76¢ | $1,063 | +$92 +9.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 1,160 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $1,003 | +$39 +4.0% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 823 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $790 | +$55 +7.4% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Ends in 75d | Yes | 796 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $788 | +$5 +0.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 1,603 | 46¢ → 47¢ | $746 | +$2 +0.3% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,929 | 48¢ → 37¢ | $704 | −$227 −24% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 707 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $665 | +$49 +8.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 700 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $563 | +$19 +3.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 580 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $525 | −$8 −1.4% |
| Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 592 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $514 | −$13 −2.5% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 458 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $438 | +$50 +13% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 463 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $437 | +$21 +5.1% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 639 | 36¢ → 54¢ | $342 | +$112 +49% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 960 | 45¢ → 36¢ | $341 | −$96 −22% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 325 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $301 | +$13 +4.5% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 400 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $274 | +$5 +1.9% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 339 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $255 | +$3 +1.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 261 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $253 | +$1 +0.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 740 | 55¢ → 34¢ | $252 | −$154 −38% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 1,080 | 71¢ → 23¢ | $251 | −$521 −67% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 280 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $248 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 240 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $233 | +$1 +0.4% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 180 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $174 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 160 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $156 | +$11 +7.2% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $149 | +$3 +2.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 260 | 62¢ → 56¢ | $144 | −$17 −11% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 772 | 48¢ → 17¢ | $127 | −$241 −65% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,940 | 25¢ → 7¢ | $126 | −$368 −74% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 139 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $123 | +$12 +10% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 124 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $121 | +$4 +3.2% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 117 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $108 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 150 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $95 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 93 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $87 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 110 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $79 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 89 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $78 | −$4 −5.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 82 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $77 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 460 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $76 | −$15 −16% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 74 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $69 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 371 | 25¢ → 19¢ | $69 | −$25 −26% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $63 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $59 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 271 | 43¢ → 21¢ | $56 | −$60 −52% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $55 | +$8 +17% |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 52 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $50 | +$0 +1.0% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | No | 45 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 180 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $44 | +$9 +24% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 129 | 29¢ → 33¢ | $42 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $42 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$8 +27% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 680 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $37 | −$29 −43% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 40 | 68¢ → 93¢ | $37 | +$10 +38% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 400 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $36 | +$5 +18% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $34 | +$2 +7.9% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $30 | +$2 +8.1% |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $22 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 750 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $20 | +$3 +20% |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$4 +25% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | 42¢ → 32¢ | $19 | −$6 −24% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 19 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 40 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $14 | −$3 −18% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 176 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $12 | −$3 −17% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 85 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $9 | −$4 −29% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 47¢ | $9 | −$3 −21% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 47¢ → 86¢ | $6 | +$3 +82% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?Ends in 117d | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 13d | No | 5 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$5 −68% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$5 −69% |
| GTA VI released by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1 | 31¢ → 20¢ | $0 | −$0 −37% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 185 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |