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Polymarket wallet 0xd43fc4ecfaf5a3d75d79c4d046d2dced9e9ef1fc · on Polymarket since Jan 17, 2026 · also shown as Pertinent-Grenade
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 16,820 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $14,213 | −$189 −1.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5,640 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $4,991 | +$649 +15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 3,000 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $2,978 | +$158 +5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 200 | 73¢ → 62¢ | $123 | −$23 −16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 61 | 59¢ → 89¢ | $54 | +$18 +50% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 43 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $42 | +$8 +22% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.