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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $6,080 | +$254 +4.2% | 2 |
| 54d |  stormshadow | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | SellNo97¢ | $1,651 | +$6 +0.4% | — |
| 158d |  Trashbag3 fills | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $6,691 | +$332 +5.0% | 2 |
| 214d | MPIL | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,139 | +$87 +7.7% | 2 |
| 249d | 0x7a6c…5048 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,657 | +$132 +8.0% | 2 |
| 255d | yyyyyyy | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,110 | +$90 +8.1% | 2 |
Wojtek1,100 sharesTrashbag11,116 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 3%.