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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 80,000 | 5% | — | — | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $22.2K | in 11h |
| ↓ 81,000 | 59% | — | — | 46¢ · 71¢ (25¢) | $21K | in 11h |
| ↑ 84,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $20.6K | in 11h |
| ↓ 79,000 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $20.2K | in 11h |
| ↑ 83,000 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $19.8K | in 11h |
| ↑ 82,000 | 13% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $11.1K | in 11h |
| ↓ 78,000 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $9.93K | in 11h |
| ↓ 77,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $7.28K | in 11h |
| ↑ 85,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $4.54K | in 11h |
| ↓ 76,000 | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | $2.55K | in 11h |
| ↑ 86,000 | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | $2.35K | in 11h |
| ↓ 75,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.86K | in 11h |
| ↑ 87,000 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $219 | in 11h |
| ↑ 89,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $15 | in 11h |
| ↑ 88,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $15 | in 11h |
| ↓ 74,000 | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | $15 | in 11h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31m | Navigator772 fills | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $4,000 | −$16 −0.4% | 2 |
| 1h | Vipine | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 95¢ | $1,000 | −$25 −2.5% | 2 |
| 4h | trx1 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,041 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
cyfra1,564 shares
Haradwaith173 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 17?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for ↓ 80,000 means the market gives it about 5%.