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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia, PA by November 30 | 56% | +8 pts | −1 pts | 52¢ · 59¢ (7¢) | — | in 48d |
| Buffalo, NY by November 15 | 80% | +6 pts | +13 pts | 76¢ · 84¢ (8¢) | — | in 33d |
| Buffalo, NY by October 31 | 35% | +5 pts | −21 pts | 31¢ · 38¢ (7¢) | — | in 18d |
| Salt Lake City, UT by October 31 | 32% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 28¢ · 35¢ (7¢) | — | in 18d |
| Pittsburgh, PA by November 15 | 77% | −2 pts | −11 pts | 73¢ · 80¢ (7¢) | — | in 33d |
| Indianapolis, IN by November 30 | 77% | +2 pts | −20 pts | 63¢ · 90¢ (26¢) | — | in 48d |
| St. Louis, MO by November 30 | 67% | +5 pts | +20 pts | 63¢ · 70¢ (7¢) | — | in 48d |
| Minneapolis, MN by November 30 | 77% | −6 pts | −9 pts | 64¢ · 89¢ (25¢) | — | in 48d |
| Detroit, MI by November 30 | 84% | +3 pts | −4 pts | 78¢ · 90¢ (12¢) | — | in 48d |
| Cincinnati, OH by November 30 | 48% | — | −14 pts | 27¢ · 69¢ (42¢) | — | in 48d |
| Minneapolis, MN by November 15 | 81% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 77¢ · 85¢ (8¢) | — | in 33d |
| Denver, CO by November 30 | 93% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 92¢ · 94¢ (2¢) | — | in 48d |
| Denver, CO by November 15 | 85% | −7 pts | +9 pts | 74¢ · 96¢ (23¢) | — | in 33d |
| Pittsburgh, PA by November 30 | 84% | −10 pts | −5 pts | 80¢ · 87¢ (7¢) | $175 | in 48d |
| Buffalo, NY by November 30 | 76% | −16 pts | −12 pts | 63¢ · 90¢ (27¢) | — | in 48d |
| Washington, DC by November 30 | 43% | — | +1 pts | 42¢ · 44¢ (2¢) | — | in 48d |
| Detroit, MI by November 15 | 69% | −8 pts | −11 pts | 66¢ · 71¢ (5¢) | $139 | in 33d |
| Dallas, TX by November 30 | 28% | −2 pts | +3 pts | 25¢ · 31¢ (6¢) | $127 | in 48d |
| Kansas City, MO by November 15 | 46% | −4 pts | +4 pts | 44¢ · 48¢ (4¢) | $100 | in 33d |
| Salt Lake City, UT by November 30 | 92% | −1 pts | +14 pts | 90¢ · 93¢ (3¢) | $83.6 | in 48d |
| Chicago, IL by November 30 | 66% | +10 pts | −17 pts | 50¢ · 81¢ (31¢) | $58 | in 48d |
| Chicago, IL by November 15 | 45% | +3 pts | −34 pts | 40¢ · 49¢ (9¢) | $50 | in 33d |
| Salt Lake City, UT by November 15 | 68% | +8 pts | −10 pts | 66¢ · 69¢ (3¢) | $50 | in 33d |
| Boston, MA by November 30 | 67% | −10 pts | −14 pts | 54¢ · 80¢ (26¢) | $50 | in 48d |
| Kansas City, MO by November 30 | 86% | +4 pts | — | 81¢ · 91¢ (10¢) | $50 | in 48d |
| Nashville, TN by November 30 | 54% | −12 pts | +24 pts | 34¢ · 74¢ (40¢) | $30 | in 48d |
| Minneapolis, MN by October 31 | 33% | −16 pts | −38 pts | 29¢ · 37¢ (8¢) | $23.1 | in 18d |
| Boston, MA by November 15 | 45% | −20 pts | −20 pts | 42¢ · 48¢ (6¢) | $22.3 | in 33d |
| Denver, CO by October 31 | 65% | +5 pts | +1 pts | 47¢ · 82¢ (35¢) | $20.9 | in 18d |
| Indianapolis, IN by November 15 | 78% | −2 pts | +4 pts | 69¢ · 87¢ (18¢) | $20 | in 33d |
| New York City, NY by November 30 | 75% | +14 pts | +39 pts | 65¢ · 84¢ (19¢) | $20 | in 48d |
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chessplayer18 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records any snowfall, including trace, between market creation and the listed deadline, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The observation day is each station's National Weather Service climate day (midnight to midnight local time). Each market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as a report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as a report has been published for every day of its window. Because the final climate report for a day is issued the following morning, each market carries a resolution date 3 days after its deadline as an outer limit for that publication lag, not a waiting period: October 31, 2026 (by November 3, 2026); November 15, 2026 (by November 18, 2026); November 30, 2026 (by December 3, 2026). Each market's resolution source is that city's NWS Daily Climate Report, linked in that market's details. Those pages show the latest report only; past daily reports for every city are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 56¢ for Philadelphia, PA by November 30 means the market gives it about 56%.