| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 20,850 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $16,086 | +$2,545 +19% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 10,000 | 64¢ → 77¢ | $7,695 | +$1,295 +20% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 8,987 | 88¢ → 76¢ | $6,785 | −$1,096 −14% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5,652 | 61¢ → 92¢ | $5,172 | +$1,731 +50% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,000 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $4,325 | +$1,125 +35% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10,298 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $4,068 | +$138 +3.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,148 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $3,407 | +$380 +13% |
| Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Ends in 8h | Yes | 1,514 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $1,500 | +$172 +13% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 1,593 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $1,483 | +$94 +6.8% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | No | 1,478 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | +$104 +7.6% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,327 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $1,227 | +$213 +21% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 1,101 | 60¢ → 97¢ | $1,065 | +$405 +61% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $987 | +$17 +1.7% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $986 | +$26 +2.7% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,130 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $912 | +$27 +3.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 1,305 | 72¢ → 69¢ | $902 | −$39 −4.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,000 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $675 | −$725 −52% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 859 | 88¢ → 76¢ | $649 | −$107 −14% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 500 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $487 | +$2 +0.4% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,647 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $486 | −$25 −4.9% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $482 | +$2 +0.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 2,266 | 17¢ → 20¢ | $442 | +$47 +12% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Ends in 8h | No | 486 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $391 | +$3 +0.8% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 299 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $290 | −$3 −0.9% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 278 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $276 | +$10 +3.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 363 | 72¢ → 76¢ | $274 | +$13 +5.1% |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 286 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $244 | +$15 +6.6% |
| Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 199 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $198 | +$7 +3.6% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 136 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $134 | +$8 +6.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 145 | 87¢ → 75¢ | $109 | −$18 −14% |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 110 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $108 | +$4 +3.5% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Ends in 8h | No | 156 | 76¢ → 66¢ | $103 | −$15 −13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $82 | +$5 +6.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $81 | +$4 +4.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $69 | −$2 −2.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 100 | 55¢ → 61¢ | $61 | +$6 +10% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 73 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$2 +3.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$3 +7.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$3 +6.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $47 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?Ends in 8h | Yes | 65 | 53¢ → 68¢ | $45 | +$10 +29% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $43 | +$6 +17% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 77¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$4 +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $42 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 65 | 73¢ → 65¢ | $42 | −$6 −12% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 87¢ → 83¢ | $42 | −$2 −4.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $41 | +$5 +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $41 | −$2 −3.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $40 | −$2 −4.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $37 | −$2 −4.5% |
| Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 49 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $37 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $37 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $37 | +$3 +8.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 47 | 61¢ → 78¢ | $37 | +$8 +28% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $36 | +$2 +5.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 48 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $36 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 36 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $36 | +$6 +19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 64¢ → 66¢ | $33 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$4 −10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 80¢ → 65¢ | $33 | −$8 −19% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 40 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $32 | +$3 +8.7% |
| Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 113 | 69¢ → 28¢ | $31 | −$46 −59% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $31 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 63¢ → 61¢ | $31 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 48 | 67¢ → 62¢ | $30 | −$2 −7.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 65¢ → 59¢ | $30 | −$3 −9.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $30 | +$4 +16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 30 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 59¢ → 59¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 65¢ → 58¢ | $29 | −$4 −11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 28 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $28 | +$3 +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $27 | −$4 −13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 21¢ → 26¢ | $26 | +$5 +24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 70¢ → 51¢ | $26 | −$10 −27% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 57¢ → 51¢ | $25 | −$3 −11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 67¢ → 50¢ | $25 | −$9 −25% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 26 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $25 | +$2 +6.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 46¢ → 49¢ | $25 | +$2 +6.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 41 | 54¢ → 55¢ | $23 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 41 | 65¢ → 54¢ | $22 | −$5 −17% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or higher on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 24 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $21 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | Yes | 50 | 35¢ → 42¢ | $21 | +$4 +21% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 33 | 79¢ → 64¢ | $21 | −$5 −20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 41¢ | $20 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $20 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 34¢ → 40¢ | $20 | +$3 +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 20 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 20 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 20 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$2 +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 26 | 50¢ → 76¢ | $19 | +$7 +51% |
