| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 17,205 | 28¢ → 90¢ | $15,527 | +$10,665 +219% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 15,022 | 23¢ → 91¢ | $13,595 | +$10,137 +293% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10,000 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $9,050 | −$250 −2.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 10,000 | 63¢ → 65¢ | $6,450 | +$150 +2.4% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,622 | 36¢ → 90¢ | $1,460 | +$882 +153% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 1,000 | 47¢ → 97¢ | $969 | +$504 +108% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,310 | 38¢ → 63¢ | $819 | +$321 +64% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 625 | 53¢ → 92¢ | $575 | +$244 +74% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,000 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $269 | −$229 −46% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,600 | 31¢ → 15¢ | $241 | −$253 −51% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 37¢ → 33¢ | $66 | −$7 −9.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 50¢ → 1¢ | $10 | −$491 −98% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 275 | 15¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$32 −79% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 433 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$244 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,190 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,800 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,928 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,518 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,023 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,095 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,505 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 181 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,441 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,131 −100% |
| Will Keir Starmer say "McSweeney" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$372 −100% |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,100 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$715 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,249 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,518 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,185 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 539 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 560 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 694 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 778 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 559 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 950 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$533 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,500 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,393 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,800 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$972 −100% |
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$175 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,250 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$166 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 899 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,826 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$344 −100% |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,200 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,311 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,332 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$176 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 291 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Starmer say "Iran" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$520 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$590 −100% |
| Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$335 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,381 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,457 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,203 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,292 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 662 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,250 −100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 546 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,304 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,001 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$351 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 510 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$230 −100% |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 508 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
