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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hell 4+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela 15+ times | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thank You / Please 15+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| IQ | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Job 20+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Biden / Obama 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crypto / DOGE | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maduro | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Congo | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Boat / Terrorist | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ass / Shit | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Retarded / Walz | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Peanut / Infinitesimal | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tax / Deductible 5+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nuclear / Skedaddle | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Somalia / Somalian / Somali | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sarah / Beckstrom | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Autism / Tylenol | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315d |  noreasapa | Hell 4+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $4,284 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 315d |  ULYSSES18 | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 315d |  debased | Hell 4+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $8,509 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 315d | jaedung | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,957 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 316d |  ZhangMuZhi-3 fills | Hell 4+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $132,023 | −$151 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | Just2ofUs | Hell 4+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $49,950 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 317d |  Debosnys2 fills | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,851 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | Debosnys | Hell 4+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $6,614 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | 0330330332 fills | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,845 | +$32 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | EnzoFabi | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,961 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d |  lranon | Hell 4+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $4,003 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 317d |  fffffz | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$476 +46% | 20 |
| 318d |  CosmicCedar | Hell 4+ times | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,255 | −$1,255 −100% | 20 |
| 318d | CosmicCedar | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$604 +43% | 20 |
| 318d |  Euan | Hell 4+ times | SellNo88¢ → 0¢ | $4,400 | +$4,400 +100% | — |
| 318d |  TeemuPukki2 fills | Hell 4+ times | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $3,811 | −$3,811 −100% | 20 |
| 318d |  Dropper | Hell 4+ times | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,204 | −$1,204 −100% | 21 |
| 318d | TeemuPukki | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,430 | +$770 +17% | 20 |
| 318d |  0xdc3E831cad2 fills | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,632 | +$963 +17% | 20 |
| 318d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT2 fills | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,577 | +$686 +15% | 20 |
| 318d | Right-WholeNew account | Hell 4+ times | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$253 −25% | — |
| 318d | lranon | Hell 4+ times | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | +$311 +14% | 20 |
| 318d | LBZone | Congo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 318d | blunderbot | IQ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,007 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 318d |  Allinnothing | AI / Artificial Intelligence | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,766 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 318d | Allinnothing | IQ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,549 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
FoxyBoxy778,999 shares
tolun10,000 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to host a cabinet meeting on December 2, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the named, scheduled event December 2, 2025 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Hell 4+ times means the market gives it about 100%.