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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada / Canadian 15+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nobel | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe / Biden 5+ times | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Healthcare | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tariff 7+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fentanyl | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Transgender | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Golden Dome | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 51st state | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ceasefire 3+ times | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Obama | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Seven wars | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Governor | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Putin | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Farmer | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hell | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 374d |  swimmingtoriches | Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 374d |  Cypyi | Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 |
| 374d |  curupirAA2 fills | Trump | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,912 | +$307 +11% | 20 |
| 374d | Unselfish-Rations | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 374d | swimmingtoriches | Nobel | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 374d |  JoachimPeiper | Nobel | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,238 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 374d | stealer | Nobel | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,480 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 374d |  Totenkopf | Nobel | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,614 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 374d |  Albun1 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | SellYes>99¢ | $1,782 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 374d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 374d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,374 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 374d |  noreasapa | Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 374d |  ClownPagliacci | Tariff 7+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 374d |  Do-Not-Redeem | Canada / Canadian 15+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 375d |  brodiaga | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,211 | +$81 +1.5% | 20 |
| 375d | EscalateFund | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | +$82 +3.1% | 20 |
| 375d | Unselfish-Rations | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,153 | +$90 +4.2% | 20 |
mcooked946 sharesAlbun1604 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to participate in Bilateral events with the Prime Minister of Canada on October 7, 2025 (see https://ici.radio-canada.ca/rci/en/news/2196811/carney-to-return-to-washington-as-trumps-tariffs-hit-sectors-hard). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Prime Minister of Canada on October 7, 2025. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the Prime Minister of Canada (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Canada / Canadian 15+ times means the market gives it about 100%.