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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 15 | 100% | +78 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 16 | 100% | +3 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d |  vortl | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,280 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | Arman2 | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,833 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 154d |  Dargdarg | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,156 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | discombobulated-chicken | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,029 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 154d |  StarMaster | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 154d |  ImJustKen | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $38,886 | −$39 −0.1% | — |
| 154d |  ironic. | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,240 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 154d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d | Test669 | May 15 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,514 | −$35 −1.0% | — |
| 154d | Test669 | May 16 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,638 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 154d |  SheepToken | May 16 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,279 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | mmmreap | May 15 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,612 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 154d | RolandChang | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,075 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | RolandChang | May 16 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,557 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 154d |  HorribleWork | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $48,452 | +$49 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d | Stonktrader2 fills | May 16 | BuyYes>99¢ | $71,561 | +$72 +0.1% | 20 |
| 154d | Occasional-Rug | May 15 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,924 | −$110 −1.0% | — |
| 154d |  ScottyNooo | May 15 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $3,644 | +$969 +27% | 20 |
| 154d | silenceOfTheLambs3 fills | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,628 | +$144 +0.4% | 20 |
| 154d | silenceOfTheLambs4 fills | May 16 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $7,660 | +$1,327 +17% | 25 |
| 154d |  tourists | May 16 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,628 | +$301 +19% | 25 |
| 154d | Stonktrader | May 15 | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,093 | −$1,093 −100% | 20 |
| 154d |  elmcap22 fills | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,727 | +$99 +0.6% | 20 |
| 154d | Occasional-Rug | May 15 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$626 +37% | 20 |
| 154d |  DOJ2 fills | May 15 | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | −$1,360 −51% | — |
| 154d |  AishahSofey | May 15 | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | −$818 −43% | — |
| 154d | elmcap2 | May 15 | SellNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,195 | +$1,195 +100% | — |
| 154d |  bosshog | May 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,901 | −$317 −1.4% | — |
| 154d | tourists2 fills | May 15 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,606 | −$2,606 −100% | 20 |
| 154d |  DFK | May 16 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | −$340 −20% | — |
| 154d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96043 fills | May 16 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | −$491 −13% | — |
| 154d | Dotzy1 | May 15 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$400 −39% | — |
| 154d | tourists | May 15 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$495 +37% | 20 |
| 154d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | May 15 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | −$414 −33% | — |
| 154d | tourists | May 15 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | −$545 −33% | — |
| 154d |  36chambers | May 16 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,011 | −$596 −20% | — |
| 154d | discombobulated-chicken | May 15 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | +$507 +33% | 20 |
| 154d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | May 15 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$520 +35% | 20 |
| 154d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | May 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | −$29 −1.7% | — |
| 154d |  Cungly | May 15 | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | −$741 −43% | — |
| 154d | Trustinghorse | May 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,610 | +$180 +1.2% | 20 |
| 154d | 36chambers | May 16 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$271 +24% | 26 |
| 154d |  Rick-Ross | May 15 | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $3,043 | −$1,861 −61% | — |
| 154d |  Mine-Carrying-Dolphin2 fills | May 15 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | +$1,295 +53% | 20 |
| 154d | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | May 15 | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | −$656 −57% | — |
| 154d |  aenews2 | May 15 | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $5,716 | +$6,080 +106% | 21 |
| 154d | moneymakingmachine | May 16 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$413 +29% | 28 |
| 154d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | May 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,873 | +$32 +1.7% | 20 |
| 154d | Cungly | May 15 | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$1,530 +150% | 20 |
| 154d | osprey49621 | May 16 | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $3,693 | −$3,693 −100% | 32 |
| 154d | osprey49621 | May 15 | SellYes37¢ → 100¢ | $3,890 | −$6,543 −168% | — |
| 154d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96042 fills | May 15 | SellNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,345 | +$2,345 +100% | — |
| 154d | JoseB144 | May 16 | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | −$1,283 −65% | — |
| 154d |  Arbguy | May 15 | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | +$1,720 +124% | 20 |
| 154d | discombobulated-chicken | May 15 | SellNo59¢ → 0¢ | $2,066 | +$2,066 +100% | — |
| 154d |  dreakso | May 15 | SellNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | +$1,050 +100% | — |
| 154d | ScottyNooo2 fills | May 16 | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $4,472 | −$4,472 −100% | 35 |
| 154d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | May 16 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$15 +1.5% | 21 |
| 154d |  wish- | May 15 | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,415 | −$1,415 −100% | 20 |
| 154d | elmcap22 fills | May 15 | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $10,812 | −$10,812 −100% | 20 |
account15458,562 shares
AllByMyseIf47,706 shares
Cobra.40,670 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 14 means the market gives it about 0%.