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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 100% | +7 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bill Clinton | 0% | −7 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George W. Bush | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 0% | −58 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Condoleezza Rice | 0% | −60 pts | −92 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris | 100% | +15 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Laura Bush | 100% | +3 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| JD Vance | 0% | −2 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Thune | 100% | +46 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cynthia Lummis | 100% | +25 pts | +58 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Karl Rove | 100% | +39 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mike Pence | 100% | +4 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330d |  Allinnothing3 fills | Condoleezza Rice | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,037 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | Michael5289 | Karl Rove | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,957 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | Allinnothing | Karl Rove | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,014 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | MagicUser | Bill Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,831 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | MagicUser | Barack Obama | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,040 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | MagicUser | JD Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,824 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | MagicUser | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,943 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | MagicUser | Cynthia Lummis | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,928 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | MagicUser | John Thune | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,053 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 330d | Michael5289 | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | flagrant2 | JD Vance | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,075 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 330d | locuspm3 fills | Laura Bush | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,159 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | acrx999 | Laura Bush | SellYes>99¢ | $1,175 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 330d | locuspm | Mike Pence | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,269 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | locuspm | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | Dordorbaby | Mike Pence | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,457 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | Michael5289 | George W. Bush | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,834 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | Dordorbaby | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,537 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | Pobby | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,029 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | Pobby | George W. Bush | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,179 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d | LinusB | Joe Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,281 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 330d |  Chims | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,556 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 |
| 331d |  PRNewswire | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$10 +0.7% | 4 |
| 331d | Chims | Mike Pence | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,377 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 331d | Allinnothing | George W. Bush | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$17 +1.0% | 4 |
| 331d | Allinnothing | Joe Biden | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | +$17 +1.1% | 4 |
| 337d | PRNewswire | George W. Bush | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,605 | +$24 +1.5% | 4 |
| 343d | acrx999 | Laura Bush | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$58 +5.2% | 4 |
| 343d | acrx999 | George W. Bush | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$75 +5.3% | 4 |
| 344d | simpleman | George W. Bush | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends Dick Cheney's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the commemoration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 0%.