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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 18% | — | −1 pts | 10¢ · 25¢ (15¢) | — | in 76d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if BitMine publicly discloses a sale of Ethereum by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying sale requires a public disclosure - via SEC filing, official BitMine communication, or Tom Lee - confirming that Ethereum was sold. The disclosure itself must occur by 11:59 PM ET on the resolution date. On-chain movements alone, including transfers to exchange deposit addresses, do not qualify as confirmation of a sale. Ethereum sales that are disclosed after the resolution deadline do not qualify, regardless of when the underlying sale occurred. The resolution source is official communications from BitMine (@fundstrat / @BitMNR), SEC filings (Form 8-K or equivalent), or a consensus of credible financial reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 18¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 18%.