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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 12% | — | +4 pts | 7¢ · 17¢ (10¢) | $6.66 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112d |  elmcap23 fills | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,592 | +$35 +0.1% | 10 |
| 113d | letsfackingo | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,532 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 113d |  lostmansoul | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,906 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 114d |  wagmiser | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,370 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 130d | Advanced-Coverage | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | +$10 +0.6% | 10 |
| 137d | churna | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$14 +1.2% | 10 |
| 140d | lostmansoul | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | +$8 +0.6% | 10 |
| 140d | letsfackingo | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$9 +0.6% | 10 |
| 153d | ftgzttt | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$27 −2.4% | — |
| 153d | retzuiooo7 fills | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $131,023 | +$1,977 +1.5% | 10 |
| 153d | ftgzttt6 fills | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $112,100 | +$1,900 +1.7% | 10 |
| 153d | jhfgf34r45tgf12 fills | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $224,523 | +$3,477 +1.5% | 10 |
| 178d | anothaonebitesthedust | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | −$62 −4.2% | — |
| 198d |  ColdConviction | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,244 | +$249 +7.7% | 10 |
| 219d | cashy | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,852 | +$662 +11% | 10 |
| 222d | MrMarket | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,167 | +$473 +15% | 10 |
| 226d |  DFK | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,205 | −$522 −16% | — |
| 229d | Candid-Sermon | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 10 |
| 229d |  Zarshka | Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$325 +15% | 10 |
AlAhmeda50 shares
Grocerystore.1 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 12¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 12%.