| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 29,577 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $7,246 | −$667 −8.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 12,619 | 43¢ → 38¢ | $4,732 | −$745 −14% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,532 | 59¢ → 53¢ | $3,429 | −$445 −11% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,563 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $3,242 | +$206 +6.8% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,063 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $2,772 | +$2 +0.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,000 | 30¢ → 21¢ | $2,050 | −$947 −32% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,839 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $1,653 | +$78 +5.0% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 2,996 | 50¢ → 48¢ | $1,423 | −$74 −4.9% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 1,585 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $1,371 | −$54 −3.8% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2,098 | 40¢ → 46¢ | $975 | +$129 +15% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,800 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $490 | −$34 −6.5% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 892 | 42¢ → 53¢ | $477 | +$106 +29% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 476 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $406 | +$2 +0.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 4,301 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $366 | −$131 −26% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 1,047 | 20¢ → 30¢ | $314 | +$108 +52% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | Yes | 13,330 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $300 | −$342 −53% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 1,036 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $285 | −$70 −20% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 1,912 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $277 | +$37 +15% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 8,433 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $274 | +$4 +1.7% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,053 | 11¢ → 26¢ | $274 | +$155 +131% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 300 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $230 | −$2 −0.6% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 252 | 76¢ → 86¢ | $217 | +$26 +13% |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Ends in 164d | Yes | 532 | 37¢ → 38¢ | $202 | +$4 +2.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 230 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $200 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 733 | 8¢ → 27¢ | $196 | +$134 +215% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,449 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $196 | −$5 −2.4% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,670 | 7¢ → 12¢ | $194 | +$76 +65% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,109 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $183 | +$76 +71% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,235 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $178 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | No | 931 | 18¢ → 19¢ | $177 | +$6 +3.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 682 | 20¢ → 24¢ | $160 | +$25 +18% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 915 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $142 | −$1 −0.8% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 5,316 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $138 | −$115 −45% |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,793 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $133 | +$14 +12% |
| Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 151 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $126 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,367 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $126 | −$100 −44% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,910 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $106 | −$25 −19% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 315 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $90 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 101 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $88 | +$7 +9.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 111 | 54¢ → 77¢ | $85 | +$25 +42% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 560 | 14¢ → 15¢ | $85 | +$7 +8.4% |
| Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Ends in 17d | No | 212 | 36¢ → 40¢ | $84 | +$8 +11% |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 86 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $80 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 126 | 56¢ → 57¢ | $72 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 84 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $67 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 224 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $64 | −$5 −7.5% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 752d | No | 67 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $64 | +$3 +5.4% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 487 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $61 | −$4 −5.9% |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 493 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $59 | +$21 +53% |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 130 | 43¢ → 42¢ | $55 | −$2 −3.3% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,099 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $49 | −$17 −26% |
| Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 649 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $46 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 254 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 716 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $45 | −$5 −9.3% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 49 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $43 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 75d | Yes | 957 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $43 | −$7 −13% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 827 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $38 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 500 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $35 | −$7 −16% |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 41 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $34 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 64 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $34 | +$4 +14% |
| Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 184 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $33 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 491 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $30 | +$2 +6.0% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 29 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $28 | +$2 +6.0% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 47 | 52¢ → 54¢ | $25 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 184 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $25 | −$7 −21% |
| Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $24 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 752d | No | 25 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $23 | $0 0.0% |
| Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 166 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $22 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $22 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 26 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $22 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 160 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $22 | −$6 −21% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 100 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $21 | −$5 −19% |
| Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 752d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$2 +8.3% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 752d | No | 20 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 260 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $19 | +$2 +10% |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 335 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $18 | −$3 −14% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 146 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $18 | −$2 −10% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 33 | 50¢ → 53¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 17 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $16 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 151 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $14 | −$3 −19% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 386 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $14 | −$12 −47% |
| Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?Ends in 17d | No | 28 | 19¢ → 50¢ | $14 | +$9 +161% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 342 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $13 | −$5 −27% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 90¢ → 73¢ | $13 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 480 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 213 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $12 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 39¢ → 38¢ | $11 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 26 | 40¢ → 43¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 51¢ | $10 | +$3 +40% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 166 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 29 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.4% |
| Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 8 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $8 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$1 −16% |
| Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 29¢ → 34¢ | $7 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 86 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $6 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 178 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$4 −39% |
| Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 15 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 59¢ → 54¢ | $5 | −$1 −9.3% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 141 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$1 −9.1% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 68 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $5 | −$2 −30% |
