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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | — | in 257d |
| Valencia | 18% | −3 pts | −22 pts | 11¢ · 25¢ (14¢) | — | in 257d |
| Elche | 40% | — | +3 pts | 39¢ · 40¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| Racing Santander | 36% | — | +20 pts | 35¢ · 36¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| Atlético Madrid | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 257d |
| Getafe | 29% | +1 pts | +7 pts | 28¢ · 30¢ (2¢) | — | in 257d |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 23% | +4 pts | +7 pts | 21¢ · 24¢ (3¢) | — | in 257d |
| Rayo Vallecano | 4% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 257d |
| Levante | 34% | — | −3 pts | 33¢ · 34¢ (1¢) | — | in 257d |
| Real Madrid | 2% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 257d |
| Barcelona | 3% | — | +1 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 257d |
| Málaga | 60% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 56¢ · 63¢ (7¢) | $114 | in 257d |
| Sevilla | 4% | 0 pts | −16 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 257d |
| Osasuna | 35% | +9 pts | +24 pts | 26¢ · 44¢ (18¢) | — | in 257d |
| Espanyol | 29% | +3 pts | +22 pts | 26¢ · 32¢ (6¢) | $28.1 | in 257d |
| Real Betis | 3% | −3 pts | −46 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 257d |
| Athletic Bilbao | 10% | −3 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 20¢ (20¢) | — | in 257d |
| Alavés | 32% | +17 pts | +19 pts | 12¢ · 51¢ (39¢) | — | in 257d |
| Celta Vigo | 22% | −8 pts | −4 pts | 19¢ · 25¢ (6¢) | — | in 257d |
| Villarreal | 4% | 0 pts | −16 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 257d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | Real Sociedad | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,068 | +$85 +8.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LaLiga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 LaLiga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LaLiga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 LaLiga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LaLiga. If the 2026-27 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from LaLiga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Real Sociedad means the market gives it about 3%.