| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 5,000 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $4,650 | +$224 +5.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,000 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $4,525 | +$380 +9.2% |
| Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,827 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $2,762 | +$126 +4.8% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 2,500 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $2,238 | −$2 −0.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 3,520 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $2,200 | +$510 +30% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $1,880 | +$218 +13% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?Ends in 75d | No | 1,582 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $1,505 | +$30 +2.1% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,500 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1,466 | +$54 +3.8% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,500 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1,436 | +$34 +2.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,500 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $1,417 | +$129 +10% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,499 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1,379 | −$5 −0.4% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,500 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $1,328 | +$39 +3.0% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Dec 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,106 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $1,023 | +$122 +14% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 3,500 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $963 | −$273 −22% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,001 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $961 | +$16 +1.6% |
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,115 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $936 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $929 | +$45 +5.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,005 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $628 | −$7 −1.1% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 10d | Yes | 500 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $445 | +$6 +1.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 505 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $407 | +$8 +1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 505 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $407 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $377 | +$20 +5.5% |
| Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 332 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $319 | +$4 +1.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 252 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $242 | +$28 +13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 250 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $240 | +$7 +3.1% |
| Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 250 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $237 | +$4 +1.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 250 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $217 | +$7 +3.5% |
| Will Democrats win white voters in the Texas Senate election?Ends in 20d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $191 | +$7 +4.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 177 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $160 | −$6 −3.4% |
| House favorite on November 2 wins the election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 172 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $155 | −$3 −1.6% |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the Texas Senate election?Ends in 20d | Yes | 161 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $144 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 150 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $133 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$7 +7.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $97 | −$1 −0.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 96 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $96 | +$2 +2.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$6 +6.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 0¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$95 +0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $88 | −$6 −5.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $83 | +$2 +2.5% |
| Will Delyan Peevski win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | No | 78 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $77 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 88¢ → 77¢ | $77 | −$12 −13% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Ends in 256d | No | 170 | 42¢ → 44¢ | $74 | +$3 +3.6% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 75 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $63 | −$2 −3.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $54 | −$8 −14% |
| Kash Patel out by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 55 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $48 | −$2 −4.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$3 +6.8% |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 57 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $46 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 65 | 54¢ → 69¢ | $45 | +$10 +28% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 7d | Yes | 60 | 48¢ → 73¢ | $43 | +$15 +51% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $43 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 92¢ → 85¢ | $42 | −$4 −8.2% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 50 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $39 | +$3 +7.6% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 67¢ → 75¢ | $38 | +$4 +13% |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 40 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $36 | +$2 +7.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 38 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $34 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 69¢ → 60¢ | $30 | −$5 −14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 60¢ → 18¢ | $27 | −$63 −70% |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 25 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $23 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 25 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $23 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $22 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 25 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $21 | −$1 −4.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 25 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $20 | +$2 +8.8% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 521 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $19 | +$7 +54% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?Ends in 17d | No | 25 | 82¢ → 72¢ | $18 | −$3 −13% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 25 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Bernie Sanders be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $11 | −$3 −22% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 520 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $11 | −$8 −42% |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 87¢ → 83¢ | $10 | −$1 −4.6% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 7d | Yes | 60 | 32¢ → 13¢ | $8 | −$12 −61% |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 13¢ | $7 | −$37 −85% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 68¢ → 12¢ | $6 | −$31 −83% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$3 −46% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $3 | −$1 −24% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | United States | 10 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
