| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 1,058 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $836 | +$305 +58% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 657 | 60¢ → 95¢ | $621 | +$230 +59% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 400 | 35¢ → 46¢ | $186 | +$48 +35% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,100 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $184 | −$46 −20% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 170 | 63¢ → 93¢ | $158 | +$51 +48% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 140 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $132 | +$42 +47% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 160 | 63¢ → 80¢ | $127 | +$26 +26% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 19¢ → 28¢ | $112 | +$37 +49% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 200 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $105 | +$13 +14% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 67¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$26 +38% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $81 | +$12 +17% |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Ends in 17d | No | 160 | 56¢ → 50¢ | $79 | −$10 −12% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 36¢ → 39¢ | $77 | +$5 +6.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 100 | 45¢ → 76¢ | $76 | +$31 +68% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 100 | 38¢ → 76¢ | $76 | +$38 +99% |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 122 | 42¢ → 61¢ | $75 | +$23 +46% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 44¢ → 60¢ | $72 | +$19 +36% |
| Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 181 | 55¢ → 35¢ | $63 | −$37 −37% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 374 | 45¢ → 15¢ | $56 | −$112 −67% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Mbappé | 100 | 51¢ → 56¢ | $56 | +$5 +9.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 276 | 58¢ → 20¢ | $55 | −$103 −65% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 80 | 55¢ → 66¢ | $52 | +$8 +19% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 30¢ → 9¢ | $51 | −$129 −72% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 850 | 19¢ → 6¢ | $48 | −$114 −71% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $32 | +$4 +13% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 149 | 34¢ → 19¢ | $28 | −$23 −46% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 35¢ → 12¢ | $23 | −$47 −67% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 20 | 64¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$7 +55% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 476 | 21¢ → 4¢ | $17 | −$83 −83% |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 61¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,921 | 31¢ → 1¢ | $12 | −$592 −98% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 98 | 55¢ → 11¢ | $11 | −$43 −80% |
| Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | Yes | 60 | 33¢ → 18¢ | $11 | −$9 −47% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 700 | 16¢ → 1¢ | $10 | −$104 −91% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 0¢ → 33¢ | $7 | +$7 +0.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $5 | +$2 +56% |
| Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 39¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$20 −85% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 72 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$4 −56% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$1 −43% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | Yes | 22 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$0 −19% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 25 | 47¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$11 −91% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 221 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 252 | 69¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$174 −100% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 151 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −96% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 96 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 5.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 86 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −79% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 549 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$187 −100% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 235 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$131 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 431 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$280 −100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 504 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,250 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$308 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 580 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$151 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 110 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Conor McGregor | 380 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Heat vs. MagicSettled - ready to redeem | Heat | 2,000 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,020 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 20 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 900 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Senegal | 500 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$297 −100% |
| Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 550 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsSettled - ready to redeem | TCU Horned Frogs | 215 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 156 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Mexico | 580 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$283 −100% |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 40 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$203 −100% |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,200 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$520 −100% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$473 −100% |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 180 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$104 −100% |
| Spurs vs. PelicansSettled - ready to redeem | Pelicans | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
