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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −6 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | soll2 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,115 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 12d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,595 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 12d | Musk5 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo100¢ | $1,500 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 12d | gambler925 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 12d | Miojinho | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo100¢ | $4,975 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 12d |  nibelung.retired | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$22 +1.0% | 10 |
| 12d | Spirited-Essence-LinguisticsNew account | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,594 | −$100 −2.8% | — |
| 12d |  GrokEnjoyer | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | +$19 +0.8% | 10 |
| 12d |  Seutervoinen3 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,427 | +$586 +7.9% | 10 |
| 12d | Precious-Bafflement-Sweatsuit | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,726 | −$23 −1.3% | — |
| 12d |  ScottyNooo4 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $47,935 | +$1,706 +3.6% | 10 |
| 12d | 000di | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,052 | −$125 −3.1% | — |
| 12d |  S4uron4 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,804 | +$196 +2.5% | 11 |
| 12d |  asphyxia777 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$101 +7.3% | 12 |
| 12d |  AngryRhino | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$161 +7.5% | 12 |
| 12d | PamBondiBonds | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,927 | +$547 +11% | 13 |
| 12d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 13 |
| 12d | SnowLover72 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $23,125 | +$3,327 +14% | 13 |
| 12d | Miniature-Review | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $3,229 | −$3,229 −100% | 27 |
| 12d |  Brokie2 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $8,785 | +$1,142 +13% | 13 |
| 12d | 0x25b1…0ddf2 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $3,384 | −$3,384 −100% | 26 |
| 12d | camscot5 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $8,725 | −$1,292 −15% | — |
| 12d | EternalObl1vion | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,742 | +$1,742 +100% | — |
| 12d |  seal7 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,730 | +$770 +16% | 14 |
| 12d | gambler925 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,352 | +$538 +12% | 13 |
| 13d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $11,165 | +$707 +6.3% | 12 |
| 13d | SplendidAmadeus | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,391 | −$109 −7.9% | — |
| 13d | kukubaja | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$82 +7.1% | 12 |
| 13d |  Wagner275738 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$81 +5.8% | 11 |
| 13d | Asfalto | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,067 | −$1,067 −100% | 18 |
| 13d | Spirited-Essence-LinguisticsNew account | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,100 | +$234 +5.7% | 14 |
| 13d | Unwelcome-Fig | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,993 | −$171 −5.7% | — |
| 14d | soll2 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,916 | +$84 +4.4% | 11 |
| 15d | SAPolitcsSeer | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,102 | +$277 +3.0% | 10 |
| 15d | 0xfe63…0cae | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$31 +2.5% | 10 |
| 16d |  scottilicious4 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $25,379 | +$825 +3.2% | 10 |
| 16d | DiaMat | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,291 | +$98 +4.3% | 10 |
| 17d | Esteemed-Legitimacy | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,846 | −$290 −6.0% | — |
| 17d | camscot | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,550 | +$450 +4.7% | 10 |
| 17d |  SusanWarrenHR | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$66 +5.3% | 10 |
| 18d | 000di2 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$182 +6.1% | 10 |
| 18d | efflo-polka | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,686 | +$114 +6.8% | 10 |
| 19d | MarkoBardovic | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$109 +7.5% | 10 |
| 23d | Kevindoto | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,407 | +$147 +6.1% | 10 |
| 25d | nedsta2 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,059 | +$643 +6.4% | 10 |
| 27d | Carecainsano73 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,914 | −$352 −9.0% | — |
| 30d | Renan20302 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,669 | −$250 −6.8% | — |
| 32d | LulaVaiPerder3 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,098 | −$742 −9.2% | — |
| 43d | 65765757 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,181 | −$208 −6.5% | — |
| 46d | LulaVaiPerder3 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,059 | +$819 +9.0% | 10 |
| 47d | SuperavitFiscal2 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,279 | −$469 −11% | — |
| 50d | Renan2030 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,974 | +$272 +9.1% | 10 |
| 54d | Esteemed-Legitimacy2 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,267 | +$465 +11% | 10 |
| 61d | 65765757 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,838 | +$227 +12% | 10 |
| 62d | SuperavitFiscal | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,256 | +$337 +15% | 10 |
| 72d | Unwelcome-Fig6 fills | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $11,688 | +$796 +6.8% | 10 |
| 88d | GIRMLJC26 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | −$234 −13% | — |
| 89d | GIRMLJC26 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | +$111 +6.4% | 10 |
unknwnfnd57,545 shares
MEMR0192 shares
xandinho25 sharesPresidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.