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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | >99% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $106K | in 2h |
| 80,000 | >99% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | $102K | in 2h |
| 82,000 | 2% | −51 pts | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $81.1K | in 2h |
| 84,000 | <1% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $76.9K | in 2h |
| 76,000 | >99% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $60K | in 2h |
| 86,000 | <1% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $39.2K | in 2h |
| 74,000 | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $26.2K | in 2h |
| 88,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $4.36K | in 2h |
| 90,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $4.25K | in 2h |
| 92,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.09K | in 2h |
| 94,000 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.09K | in 2h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,315 | −$2 −0.1% | 2 |
| 2h | baba1443 | 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $7,927 | +$280 +3.5% | 3 |
| 3h | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,240 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3h | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,572 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3h | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,415 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3h | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,300 | −$4 −0.1% | 2 |
| 4h |  walnascar | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5h | suntori2 fills | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,493 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 5h | suntori2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,988 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6h |  Facaie | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6h | Facaie2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,973 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 7h | Candela | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,853 | +$30 +0.3% | 2 |
| 7h | detoxification | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 7h | YautjaPM2 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,920 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 7h | Glennraven | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,593 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8h | laishuoxin | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,263 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9h | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,479 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 10h | TangS41892 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,935 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 10h |  upont | 78,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,801 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 11h | Doomster3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,826 | +$29 +0.6% | 2 |
| 11h | neverbuypredict | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → >99¢ | $1,129 | +$18 +1.6% | 2 |
| 12h |  Tttyh3 fills | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,679 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 12h | Tttyh | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,679 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13h | Facaie | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13h | Facaie | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,522 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14h | frankzhao | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,195 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 18h | baba14433 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $5,509 | +$163 +3.0% | 2 |
| 19h | PmDerek | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 19h | PmDerek | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,777 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 20h | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes94¢ → >99¢ | $4,174 | +$259 +6.2% | 2 |
| 20h | TangS4189 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → >99¢ | $1,063 | +$20 +1.9% | 2 |
| 20h |  FXC | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,440 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 20h |  jakebet | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,456 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21h | yiba2 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,431 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21h | yiba2 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22h | nearping | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | shabbysalta | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,194 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | shabbysalta | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,572 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyNo94¢ → >99¢ | $1,377 | +$92 +6.7% | 2 |
| 1d |  bifurcatio | 84,000 | BuyNo87¢ → >99¢ | $7,398 | +$1,125 +15% | 3 |
| 1d |  GoodLuck68886 | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → >99¢ | $1,340 | +$46 +3.5% | 2 |
| 2d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | 76,000 | SellYes95¢ → >99¢ | $1,119 | −$53 −4.8% | — |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → >99¢ | $1,434 | +$30 +2.1% | 2 |
| 6d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → >99¢ | $1,258 | +$32 +2.5% | 2 |
Facaie15,200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about >99%.