Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Kalshi · Culture
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify/occur | 7% | +9 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $13K | in 107d |
| Trump (3+ times) | 64% | −26 pts | 70¢ · 80¢ (10¢) | $2.37K | in 107d |
| China / Chinese | 32% | −45 pts | 28¢ · 37¢ (9¢) | $948 | in 107d |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 46% | — | 36¢ · 54¢ (18¢) | $545 | in 107d |
| Inflation | 49% | −27 pts | 41¢ · 56¢ (15¢) | $196 | in 107d |
| Economy / Economic | 59% | — | 49¢ · 66¢ (17¢) | $146 | in 107d |
| Iran / Iranian | 46% | −17 pts | 35¢ · 46¢ (11¢) | $125 | in 107d |
| Biden | 30% | −21 pts | 22¢ · 49¢ (27¢) | $91 | in 107d |
| Democrat | 33% | −22 pts | 21¢ · 56¢ (35¢) | $68 | in 107d |
| Border | 36% | — | 31¢ · 46¢ (15¢) | $64 | in 107d |
| Illegal Alien | 32% | — | 23¢ · 36¢ (13¢) | $61 | in 107d |
| Nuclear | 36% | −12 pts | 26¢ · 46¢ (20¢) | $55 | in 107d |
| Russia / Ukraine | 49% | −23 pts | 30¢ · 51¢ (21¢) | $44.5 | in 107d |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 36% | +31 pts | 15¢ · 35¢ (20¢) | $36.2 | in 107d |
| Election / Midterm | 36% | — | 25¢ · 44¢ (19¢) | $35.6 | in 107d |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 2% | −61 pts | 5¢ · 17¢ (12¢) | $15.5 | in 107d |
| Fake News | 30% | +4 pts | 10¢ · 33¢ (23¢) | $13.6 | in 107d |
| Venezuela | 34% | 0 pts | 4¢ · 30¢ (26¢) | $0 | in 107d |
| Tariff | 0% | — | 6¢ · 25¢ (19¢) | $0 | in 107d |
| Fraud | 67% | 0 pts | 7¢ · 25¢ (18¢) | $0 | in 107d |
| America First | 0% | — | 5¢ · 25¢ (20¢) | $0 | in 107d |
| Fentanyl | 0% | — | 5¢ · 25¢ (20¢) | $0 | in 107d |
| ICE | 0% | — | 11¢ · 25¢ (14¢) | $0 | in 107d |
| California | 66% | 0 pts | 5¢ · 29¢ (24¢) | $0 | in 107d |
| Leavitt | 0% | — | 5¢ · 25¢ (20¢) | $0 | in 107d |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 6% | 0 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $0 | in 107d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
If the White House Press Secretary says Trump (3+ times) at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 7¢ for Event does not qualify/occur means the market gives it about 7%.