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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685d | 30m Bluesky users in November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,672 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 686d | 30m Bluesky users in November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,044 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 688d | lockup | 30m Bluesky users in November? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$11 −1.1% | — |
| 690d | 30m Bluesky users in November? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,054 | +$49 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 693d | lockup | 30m Bluesky users in November? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$23 +2.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bluesky reaches 30,000,000 or more users at any point between November 19 and November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET according to https://bsky-users.theo.io/. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the resolution source is unavailable at resolution time, https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats may be used. If both resolution sources are unavailable at resolution time, a new resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.