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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 325d | rulki | AfD banned in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,361 | +$33 +0.3% | 4 |
| 429d |  Coram_Deo | AfD banned in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | −$81 −3.7% | — |
| 470d | Malke | AfD banned in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,970 | +$124 +3.1% | 4 |
| 514d | Coram_Deo | AfD banned in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$42 +4.1% | 4 |
| 524d | keribit | AfD banned in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,016 | +$84 +4.2% | 4 |
| 532d |  Car | AfD banned in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$41 +3.8% | 4 |
BabyYoda12333 shareshis market will resolve to "Yes" if the political party Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland, AfD) is banned at the federal level in Germany by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial bans at the state level or restrictions short of a full federal ban will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.