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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$1M | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$5M | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$20M | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$10M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | Firsthand-MixerNew account | >$1M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,089 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | >$1M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 274d | >$1M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,567 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 274d | >$1M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,546 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 274d | drizzzz | >$1M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,688 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | predict321 | >$1M | SellNo>99¢ | $4,558 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | Trusty-Flexibility | >$1M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,128 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | funnyponybunny- | >$1M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,264 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | >$20M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 274d | predict3212 fills | >$1M | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,432 | +$1,131 +33% | 2 |
| 274d | zorosorry | >$1M | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$408 +41% | 2 |
| 274d | Square-Greatgrandmother | >$1M | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 2 |
| 274d | predict321 | >$1M | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,552 | +$1,552 +100% | — |
| 274d | predict321 | >$1M | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,821 | −$1,821 −100% | 2 |
| 274d | zevunyaa | >$1M | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$1,473 +108% | 5 |
alon (@a1lon9) announced that he will be calling a $14k market cap coin later today: https://x.com/a1lon9/status/2011870750454559080 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the token publicly called by alon is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after the call. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after the call " is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the call. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If alon doesn't call a token by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Only the first coin publicly called by alon during the market timeframe will be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >$1M means the market gives it about 0%.